A1 Forex Trading Tips

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WWW.TRIFIDRESEARCH.COM WWW.TRIFIDRESEARCH.CO M

R W

E E K L Y E P O

29 SEPT- 1 OCT 2014

Buy on fear, sell on greed.

R

Buy on the rumor, sell on the news. The trend is your friend.

T

 Amateurs want to be right. right. Professionals want to make money.

MARKET OUTLOOK

MARKET EVENTS

 Rupee

The rupee slipped to level of 61.62

snaps four-day losing

against the US currency to hit its

streak as S&P ups rating

lowest level seen in over 7 weeks on sustained bouts of dollar demand

outlook.  Asian

from importers and firm greenback overseas.

Currencies Decline for

But

showed

some

correction on last trading session as ’

Fourth Week on Fed Rate

S&P upgrades India s outlook. The

Outlook.

currency's strength against major

dollar index, which measures the US currencies, held near a four-year

 Dollar

Rallies as Growth

high against its major rivals in early trade. The USDINR pair has breached

Bolsters Interest-Rate Bets.  Sterling

its resistance at 61.25 levels is

set for weekly gains as

indicating a steep rise in the pair towards 61.80-62.00 levels.

BoE/ECB rate paths diverge.

KEY RATES As on 26/09/2014 PREVIOUS

CURRENT

RATE

RATE

CURRENCIES

USDINR

EURINR GBPINR

 JPYINR

% CHANGE

60.9100

78.3750

61.5825

78.4475

REFERENCE RATE (USD)

61.5720

REPO RATE

8%

REVERSE REPO

7%

CRR

4%

INFLATION

3.74%

1.10

0.09

99.7350

100.3550

0.62

56.0075

56.4575

0.80

USDINR

USDINR Oct series last week broke its vital resistance of 61.7600 but unable to sustain above it as ’

S&P upgrades India s outlook. Now immediate support for it seen around 61.2000 below which again it may drag towards its important support of 60.5000. On higher side psychological level of 62.0000 is act as major resistance for it.

EURINR

EURINR Oct series last week again closed on lower note finding crucial support around 78.0000 mark. On weekly charts, if it closes below 78.0000 level then it may fall towards the trend line which is acting strong support i.e. near 76.8000. On any correction it may find resistance in the range of 78.9000-79.5000 in the coming week.

PIVOT TABLE CURRENCIES

S1

S2

S3

R1

R2

R3

USDINR

61.0000

60.5000

60.0000

62.0000

62.5000

62.8000

EURINR

78.0000

77.6000

76.8000

78.9000

79.4000

79.9000

GBPINR

99.9000

99.3000

98.8000

100.90

101.30

101.80

JPYINR

56.0000

55.6000

55.2000

56.9000

57.3000

57.8000

INTERNATIONAL UPDATES

 Brazil’s Real Climbs from Seven-Month Low on Election

Outlook. 

Euro hits fresh multi-month lows vs. stronger dollar.



Peru Sells Most Dollars Since January as Sol Touches 5-Year Low.

DATE

TIME

COUNTRY

11:00 30-SEPT-2014

INDIA AM 8:30

30-SEPT-2014

US

EVENT

RBI Monetary Policy CB Consumer

PM

Confidence

6:45

ADP Non-Farm

01-OCT-2014

US

Employment

PM

Change

8:30

ISM

01-OCT-2014

US PM

Manufacturing PMI

BLOOMBERG

PREVIOUS

ESTIMATE

LEVEL

8%

8%

92.2

92.4

206k

204k

58.6

59.0

DISCLAIMER

WWW.TRIFIDRESEARCH.COM

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