Development of for Specific Sites Corresponding to Selected GCM Outputs,Using Statistical Downscaling Techniques(GCISC-RR-09)

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Climate Change is one of the most serious problems the world facing today and has become agrowing concern for nations across the globe. Human activities have now reached a level whereGreen House Gases (GHGs) of anthropogenic origin are significantly affecting the globalenvironment. The research conducted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)over the last twenty years has established that the increasing concentrations of GHGs in theatmosphere caused an increase in average global temperature by about 0.6 °C over the Last century.Much larger changes are expected in the 21st century, with the average global temperature rising inthe order of 1.1 °c - 6.4°C.The climate change information required for impact studies should be of a spatial scale much finerthan that provided by global Or regional climate models. Typically, GCMs have: a resolution ofabout 300 x 300 km and RCM’s of about 30 X 30 km, whereas for impact assessments studies muchfiner resolution climate observations OIU GCM. projectionsfor future climate are then used in combination. with the derived statistical relationships to estimatethe smaller-scale details Q f future cl imate.

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Daily Newsletter Newsletter-Commodity
02/08/2010

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MARKET WRAP
U.S. crude oil futures turned positive to end the month Copper sets 3-month high Gold down 5 pct in July, worst monthly loss in 2010 Aluminium hits 11-week high on consumer buying Oil rises to near $79, gains 4.35 pct in July

Gold rallied Friday on disappointing U.S. economic growth data, but the metal still logged its biggest monthly loss since December as safe-haven demand fizzled on lessening fears over a euro zone sovereign debt crisis. Aluminium rose to an 11-week high on Friday due to industrial consumer buying, while copper reversed losses to hit a fresh three month high after a flurry of economic data in the United States. .S. crude oil futures turned positive to end the month higher on Friday, shrugging off earlier concerns about the pace of economic growth.

ECONOMIC CALENDAR
Date Mon Aug 2 Time 1:30pm 7:30pm 7:30pm 7:30pm 7:45pm Currency EUR USD USD USD USD Economic Data Final Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Construction Spending m/m ISM Manufacturing Prices Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks Forecast Previous 56.5 54.3 -0.4% 55.3 56.5 56.2 -0.2% 57.0

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TECHNICAL VIEW
GOLD(AUG)
Trend Strategy
Resistance support
• Consolidate • Sell on high • R2 -18130 • R1 -17850 • S1 -17620 • S2 -17280

SILVER(SEP SEP)
Trend Strategy
Resistance support • Consolidate • Buy on dips • R2 - 29450 • R1 - 28850 • S1 - 28250 • S2 - 27450

COPPER(AUG)
Trend Strategy
Resistance support
• Consolidate • Buy on dips • R2 - 347 • R1 - 340 • S1 - 330 • S2 - 321

CRUDE(AUG) CRUDE(AUG
Trend Strategy
Resistance support
• Consolidate • Sell on higher • R2 - 3770 • R1 - 3680 • S1 - 3570 • S2 - 3480

NATURALGAS(AUG) )
Trend Strategy
Resistance support
• Consolidate • Buy on dips •R2 - 245 •R1 - 233 •S1 - 221 •S2 - 209

LEAD(AUG) )
Trend Strategy
Resistance support • Consolidate • Buy on dips • R2 - 99.5 • R1 - 96.3 • S1 - 94.8 •S2 - 91.5

ZINC(AUG)
Trend Strategy
Resistance support
• Consolidate •Sell on higher •R2 - 96.5 •R1 - 93.8 •S1 - 91.5 •S2 - 88.8

NICKEL(AUG) NICKEL(AUG
Trend Strategy
Resistance support • Consolidate • Buy on dips •R2 - 1038 •R1 - 995 •S1 - 957 •S2 - 912

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ALUMINIUM(AUG)
Trend Strategy
Resistance support • Consolidate • Buy on dips •R2 - 102.5 •R1 - 100.3 •S1 - 97.8 •S2 - 95.5

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