Franklin & Marshall College Poll
Content
For immediate release May 8, 2013
Franklin & Marshall College Poll
SURVEY OF PENNSYLVANIANS SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Prepared by: Center for Opinion Research Floyd Institute for Public Policy Franklin & Marshall College
BERWOOD A. YOST DIRECTOR, FLOYD INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY DIRECTOR, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH HEAD METHODOLOGIST, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL G. TERRY MADONNA DIRECTOR, CENTER FOR POLITICS AND PUBLIC AFFAIRS DIRECTOR, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL ANGELA N. KNITTLE SENIOR PROJECT MANAGER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH PROJECT MANAGER, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL KAY K. HUEBNER PROGRAMMER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH
May 8, 2013
Table of Contents
KEY FINDINGS ..............................................................................................3 GOVERNOR CORBETT’S JOB PERFORMANCE ...................................................3 STATE LIQUOR STORE PRIVATIZATION .............................................................5 METHODOLOGY ...........................................................................................6 ATTACHMENT A ...........................................................................................7 ATTACHMENT B ...........................................................................................8 MARGINAL FREQUENCY REPORT .............................................................9
The Franklin & Marshall College Poll is produced in conjunction with the Philadelphia Daily News, WGAL-TV (South Central PA), Pittsburgh Tribune Review, WTAE-TV (Pittsburgh), WPVI-TV6/ABC (Philadelphia), Times-Shamrock Newspapers, Harrisburg Patriot-News, and Lancaster Newspapers. It may be used in whole or in part, 2Marshall College. provided any use is attributed to Franklin &
Key Findings
The May 2013 Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvania registered voters finds a majority (58%) believes the state is “off on the wrong track” and only one in four (25%) believes Governor Tom Corbett has performed sufficiently well to deserve re-election. The Poll also finds fewer registered voters support selling the state-owned liquor stores (47%) than did so in February (53%).
Governor Corbett’s Job Performance
One in four (25%) registered Pennsylvania voters believes Governor Corbett is doing an “excellent” or “good” job as governor, which is similar to the ratings he received in the February 2013 Franklin & Marshall College Poll. His job performance ratings are much lower than either Governor Rendell or Governor Ridge at similar points in their first terms (see Figure 1). Two in five (39%) Republicans, one in three (33%) independents, and one in ten (11%) Democrats rate his performance as “excellent” or “good.” Only one in four (25%) voters believes Governor Corbett has performed sufficiently well to deserve re-election. Few Democrats (12%) or independent voters (20%) believe he deserves re-election, but, surprisingly, less than half (46%) of Republicans do.
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Figure 1:
Comparison of Pennsylvania Governors’ Job Performance Ratings
How would you rate the way that [fill Governor] is handling his job as Governor? Would you say he is doing… an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job as Governor?
The Governor’s difficulties with voters may be due in part from the priorities he has emphasized in recent months. Debate in the state capital has centered on efforts to privatize the state liquor stores and the state lottery, but these issues rank well below the economy, creating jobs, or improving public schools as important issues voters want state government to address (see Figure 2). Few voters grade the Governor’s job performance on these issues, improving the economy (15%), creating jobs (13%), or improving public education (11%), as an “A” or “B.”
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Figure 2:
PA Registered Voters’ Issue Priorities
I’m going to read some issues that affect the state. For each one, please tell me how important it is for the state’s elected officials to address. Please give each issue a score between one and ten, where one means that it is NOT important at all and ten means it is VERY important for the state to address. How important is it that state elected officials…
State Liquor Store Privatization
A plurality (47%) of the state’s registered voters supports selling the state-owned liquor stores to private companies, which is significantly lower than it was in February (53%). Support for selling the state stores has declined from February among both Republicans (54%, down from 61%) and Democrats (41%, down from 48%). More registered voters believe the state-owned liquor stores should continue as they are (31%) or be modernized (26%) than believe they should be sold to private companies (37%). If the state stores are sold, respondents most often say the money should be used to assist local schools (32%) or reduce local property taxes (26%).
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Methodology
The survey findings presented in this release are based on the results of interviews conducted April 30 – May 5, 2013. The interviews were conducted at the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College under the direction of the poll’s Director Dr. G. Terry Madonna, Head Methodologist Berwood Yost, and Senior Project Manager Angela Knittle. The data included in this release represent the responses of 526 Pennsylvania registered voters, including 265 Democrats, 196 Republicans, and 65 registered as Independent/Other. The sample of registered voters was obtained from Voter Contact Services. Survey results were weighted (region, gender, and party) using an iterative weighting algorithm to reflect the known distribution of those characteristics as reported by the Pennsylvania Department of State. The sample error for this survey is +/- 4.3 percentage points. In addition to sampling error, this poll is also subject to other sources of non-sampling error. Generally speaking, two sources of error concern researchers most. Non-response bias is created when selected participants either choose not to participate in the survey or are unavailable for interviewing. Response errors are the product of the question and answer process. Surveys that rely on selfreported behaviors and attitudes are susceptible to biases related to the way respondents process and respond to survey questions.
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Attachment A
Favorability: Governor Corbett, Pennsylvania February 2013
Please let me know your opinion of some people involved in politics today. Is your opinion of Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Tom Corbett to have an opinion? Favorable Political Party* Republican Democrat Independent/Other Ideology* Liberal Moderate Conservative Gender* Male Female Age** 18-34 35-54 55 and over Education* High school or less Some college College degree Household Income Less than $35,000 $35-75,000 Over $75,000 Race* White Non-White Marital Status Single, Never Married Married Not currently married Religious Affiliation Protestant Catholic Other, unaffiliated Born Again Christian or Fundamentalist Yes No Gun Owner* Yes No Region Northeast Philadelphia Southeast Northwest Central Allegheny Southwest Employment Fulltime Other Retired 27% 35% 27% 29% 26% 25% 30% 17% 20% 31% 31% 34% 31% 21% 37% 27% 38% 25% 35% 19% 28% 29% 28% 27% 39% 28% 27% 32% 39% 36% 58% 50% 45% 55% 44% 60% 52% 45% 43% 45% 42% 50% 40% 48% 38% 50% 39% 53% 45% 34% 48% 53% 44% 49% 44% 44% 16% 19% 13% 11% 18% 16% 17% 6% 15% 16% 16% 14% 18% 16% 12% 16% 19% 14% 19% 12% 19% 27% 15% 11% 5% 15% 16% 17% 17% 10% 3% 11% 11% 4% 9% 16% 13% 8% 11% 6% 10% 13% 11% 9% 5% 11% 6% 16% 9% 10% 9% 8% 12% 9% 14% 6% 32% 24% 30% 29% 50% 49% 22% 16% 14% 18% 10% 7% 33% 25% 49% 43% 12% 19% 6% 13% 14% 22% 49% 75% 49% 19% 5% 20% 19% 7% 9% 12% 48% 17% 21% 27% 61% 40% 17% 12% 28% 8% 10% 11% Unfavorable Undecided Do not know
* p<0.01
** p<0.05
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Attachment B
Job Performance: Governor Corbett, Pennsylvania February 2013
How would you rate the way that Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor? Would you say he is doing an…
Excellent/Good Political Party* Republican Democrat Independent/Other Ideology* Liberal Moderate Conservative Gender* Male Female Age** 18-34 35-54 55 and over Education* High school or less Some college College degree Household Income Less than $35,000 $35-75,000 Over $75,000 Race* White Non-White Marital Status Single, Never Married Married Not currently married Religious Affiliation Protestant Catholic Other, unaffiliated Born Again Christian or Fundamentalist Yes No Gun Owner* Yes No Region Northeast Philadelphia Southeast Northwest Central Allegheny Southwest Employment Fulltime Other Retired 19% 33% 22% 21% 27% 22% 24% 23% 18% 25% 28% 29% 23% 19% 29% 23% 29% 21% 34% 25% 25% 11% 25% 18% 26% 22% 23% 28% 31% 18% 25% 25% 24% 9% 18% 42% 39% 11% 33%
Only Fair/Poor 58% 83% 63% 88% 78% 51% 72% 70% 59% 77% 72% 73% 61% 77% 75% 71% 77% 71% 67% 73% 71% 68% 67% 74% 74% 65% 73% 67% 74% 60% 67% 71% 81% 72% 78% 72% 74% 71% 68%
Do not know 3% 6% 5% 3% 4% 7% 3% 6% 11% 5% 3% 7% 5% 1% 5% 2% 2% 4% 10% 9% 4% 4% 4% 3% 8% 6% 4% 4% 5% 6% 9% 4% 8% 3% 4% 2% 4% 6% 4%
* p<0.01
** p<0.05
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Marginal Frequency Report
Responses may not total 100% due to rounding.
REG. Some people are registered to vote, and many others are not. Are you CURRENTLY REGISTERED to vote at your present address? 100% 0% Yes No
RegPARTY. Are you currently registered as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or as something else? 37% 50% 10% 2% Republican Democrat Independent Something else
RightDir. All in all, do you think things in Pennsylvania are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track? Headed in right direction 28% 31% 30% 31% 38% 38% 34% 37% 27% 31% 30% 35% 32% 37% 39% Off on the wrong track 58% 56% 57% 56% 47% 49% 53% 53% 64% 59% 58% 55% 58% 50% 53% Don’t know 13% 13% 13% 13% 15% 13% 13% 10% 9% 10% 12% 10% 10% 13% 8%
May 2013 Aug 2012 June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010
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MIP_PA. What do you think is the MOST IMPORTANT problem facing PENNSYLVANIA TODAY? Nov 2005 23% 6% 8% 3% 16% 3% 5% 5% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 3% 0% 1% 2% 2% 0% 7% 8% Feb 2006 23% 7% 7% 1% 18% 2% 8% 8% 1% 3% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 6% 10% Aug 2006* 17% 10% 7% 0% 18% 2% 8% 7% 4% 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 5% 8% Aug 2007* 15% 10% 9% 0% 12% 1% 11% 10% 2% 7% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 5% 7% Oct 2010 39% 4% 14% 17% 8% 0% 1% 7% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 3% Aug 2011 9% 12% 11% 38% 5% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 0% 2% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 6% Aug 2012* 12% 13% 15% 30% 4% 3% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 6% May 2013* 18% 17% 16% 11% 7% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 8%
Economy Education, school Government, politicians Unemployment, personal finances Taxes Energy issues, gas prices Crime, drugs, violence, guns Healthcare, insurance Senior issues, social security Roads, infrastructure Civil liberties Environment Retaining, attracting businesses Social issues Values, morals Welfare Foreign policy, terrorism, war Gambling, slot machines Immigration Legislative pay raise Population loss Population, urban sprawl Public transportation Housing, real estate Nothing Other Don't know
*Question asked of registered respondents only
IntIss1. I’m going to read some issues that affect the state. For each one, please tell me how important it is for the state’s elected officials to address. Please give each issue a score between one and ten, where one means that it is NOT important at all and ten means it is VERY important for the state to address. How important is it that state elected officials … Mean 8.9 8.9 8.1 8.0 7.6 7.3 6.9 6.8 6.6 4.9 3.6 SD 1.8 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.7 3.0 2.4 3.0 3.2 3.0
Help create new jobs Improve the state’s economy Improve the public schools Protect the state’s environment Increase spending to repair existing roads, highways, and bridges Reform the state’s pension system Expand Medicaid to provide insurance coverage for low-income residents Repair and improve the state’s storm water runoff systems Create more laws that regulate natural gas drilling Privatize the state liquor stores Privatize the state lottery
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IntFav. Please let me know your opinion of some people involved in politics today. Is your opinion of [FILL name] favorable, unfavorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about [FILL name] to have an opinion? (rotated) Strongly favorable BARACK OBAMA May 2013 Feb 2013 Oct 2012 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Mar 2011 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 Jun 2009 Feb 2009 Oct 2008 Sep 2008 Aug 2008 TOM CORBETT May 2013 Feb 2013 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 June 2012 Jan 2012 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 32% 31% 36% 35% 25% 26% 23% 25% 17% 26% 25% 27% 23% 29% 29% 39% 38% 38% 31% 25% 7% 7% 13% 7% 7% 6% 14% 17% 12% 8% 7% 8% Somewhat favorable 20% 18% 14% 15% 21% 21% 22% 20% 24% 18% 17% 22% 21% 16% 26% 17% 18% 15% 18% 18% 22% 18% 17% 25% 25% 23% 19% 18% 15% 19% 17% 14% Somewhat unfavorable 7% 9% 7% 6% 8% 11% 12% 12% 11% 12% 13% 10% 11% 12% 9% 6% 8% 8% 9% 7% 12% 18% 13% 15% 14% 15% 8% 8% 5% 7% 5% 4% Strongly unfavorable 36% 35% 38% 36% 37% 33% 35% 32% 33% 34% 33% 29% 33% 27% 28% 21% 15% 25% 21% 22% 34% 25% 29% 27% 25% 17% 15% 9% 5% 8% 5% 3% Undecided 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 9% 8% 9% 14% 10% 11% 11% 10% 13% 7% 14% 17% 12% 17% 23% 16% 19% 14% 14% 15% 18% 24% 17% 17% 19% 17% 17% Don’t know 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 4% 3% 3% 5% 10% 12% 14% 13% 14% 20% 21% 31% 45% 40% 49% 54%
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Strongly favorable BOB CASEY May 2013 Feb 2013 Oct 2012 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 June 2012 Jan 2012 Mar 2011 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 Jun 2009 Feb 2009 PAT TOOMEY May 2013 Feb 2013 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 17% 13% 16% 14% 11% 14% 9% 6% 10% 9% 13% 9% 11% 17% 11% 11% 12% 11% 6% 15% 12% 11% 6% 8% 6% 6% 5% 7%
Somewhat favorable 26% 27% 20% 23% 25% 24% 20% 19% 23% 24% 20% 23% 21% 24% 21% 19% 23% 15% 17% 15% 13% 14% 10% 10% 10% 9% 11% 11%
Somewhat unfavorable 9% 11% 12% 13% 12% 10% 9% 11% 9% 10% 9% 11% 9% 10% 12% 9% 11% 8% 7% 10% 7% 8% 4% 5% 2% 4% 5% 4%
Strongly unfavorable 13% 13% 19% 16% 10% 8% 8% 8% 11% 11% 9% 9% 12% 8% 5% 8% 11% 12% 6% 16% 9% 12% 5% 5% 5% 3% 5% 6%
Undecided 17% 16% 14% 13% 16% 14% 18% 19% 16% 17% 15% 17% 15% 17% 17% 21% 15% 16% 22% 16% 17% 19% 15% 13% 15% 13% 10% 9%
Don’t know 18% 21% 19% 22% 27% 29% 35% 37% 31% 29% 34% 31% 32% 24% 34% 32% 28% 37% 42% 28% 43% 36% 60% 59% 62% 65% 64% 63%
Rate_Gov. How would you rate the way that Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor? Would you say he is doing an… Excellent Job 3% 2% 4% 3% 5% 6% 5% Good Job 22% 24% 26% 25% 33% 26% 26% Only a Fair Job 39% 41% 36% 40% 43% 46% 39% Poor Job 32% 26% 28% 26% 11% 14% 13% Don’t Know 5% 6% 6% 6% 8% 9% 18%
May 2013 Feb 2013 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011
DesREGov. Do you believe that Tom Corbett has done a good enough job as Governor to deserve reelection, or do you believe it is time for a change? 25% 64% 11% Deserves re-election Time for a change Do not know
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IntGrMyr I am going to read you a list of problems and issues that the state government is supposed to take care of. For each item, please tell me how well Governor Corbett’s administration has performed in each area, using an A, B, C, D, or F. How about ______(rotated)? Would you rate the Governor's performance… A for excellent, B for very good, C for average, D for below average or F for failing? A Improving the state’s economy Improving the condition of Pennsylvania’s roads, bridges, and transit systems Making the state government operate more efficiently Helping to create new jobs Improving public education Managing the state’s finances Protecting the state’s environment 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 4% 3% B 13% 15% 11% 11% 10% 16% 18% C 41% 38% 38% 38% 32% 36% 36% D 26% 25% 22% 28% 26% 21% 16% F 12% 13% 14% 14% 25% 13% 15% Don’t know 7% 8% 12% 8% 7% 9% 14%
RateSenT. How would you rate the way that Pat Toomey is handling his job as U.S. SENATOR? Would you say he is doing an… Excellent Job 4% 3% 5% 3% Good Job 27% 29% 24% 25% Only a Fair Job 39% 40% 37% 36% Poor Job 10% 11% 14% 10% Don’t Know 21% 18% 20% 27%
May 2013 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011
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RatePres. How would you rate the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Would you say he is doing… an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job as President? Excellent job May 2013 Feb 2013 Oct 2012 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 Jun 2009 Mar 2009 Feb 2009 14% 14% 17% 18% 12% 13% 11% 9% 9% 9% 7% 8% 10% 9% 14% 12% 12% 11% 17% 14% 20% 23% 25% Good job 30% 28% 29% 29% 31% 29% 26% 31% 28% 25% 28% 24% 26% 28% 24% 28% 29% 27% 23% 33% 35% 37% 30% Only a fair job 22% 23% 20% 19% 23% 30% 29% 29% 31% 33% 30% 31% 33% 28% 32% 27% 32% 32% 31% 29% 25% 22% 23% Poor job 33% 34% 33% 33% 33% 28% 35% 30% 32% 33% 34% 36% 30% 35% 29% 32% 27% 29% 28% 24% 19% 14% 13% Don’t know 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 4% 9%
IntISS Now I'd like to ask you about some issues currently being discussed in the state… Q21. Some people believe Pennsylvania should get out of the business of selling wine and spirits and are talking about selling the state's liquor stores to private companies. Do you support or oppose the state of Pennsylvania selling the state-owned liquor stores to private companies? Strongly support 30% 34% 35% 42% Somewhat support 17% 19% 15% 13% Somewhat oppose 9% 10% 8% 6% Strongly oppose 31% 24% 29% 24% Do not know 13% 12% 13% 15%
May 2013* Feb 2013* May 2010 June 2002
*Question asked of registered respondents only
LiqSt1. If the state liquor stores are sold, how do you think the money should be used…(rotated)? 32% 17% 26% 13% 7% 5% To assist local school districts To fund road and bridge improvements To reduce property taxes To pay for health and human services programs, or For something else? Do not know
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LiqSt2. Instead of selling the state liquor stores to private companies, some state lawmakers have proposed modernizing the state liquor system to make it more customer-friendly with changes such as expanding the number of state liquor stores open for Sunday sales or allowing wine to be ordered online and shipped to customers’ homes. Do you think the state liquor stores should be…(rotated)? 37% 26% 31% 6% Sold to private companies, Modernized, or Continue as they are? Do not know
IntGuns. I’m going to ask you about some gun control ideas that are currently being talked about. For each, please tell me if you FAVOR or OPPOSE the proposal. First, do you favor or oppose… Strongly Favor Somewhat Favor Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Do Not Know
Requiring background checks for all gun sales May 2013 83% 6% Feb 2013 87% 7% Banning high-capacity ammunition magazines May 2013 53% 8% Feb 2013 53% 8% Banning the sale of assault weapons May 2013 52% 9% Feb 2013 55% 6%
2% 3% 10% 10% 10% 12%
7% 4% 26% 25% 27% 24%
2% 0% 3% 3% 2% 3%
Legal_MJ. Do you think the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not? Yes May 2013 Feb 2013 May 2010 May 2006 38% 36% 33% 22% No 54% 55% 60% 72% Do not know 8% 9% 7% 6%
FO_MJ. Generally speaking...do you favor or oppose allowing adults to legally use marijuana for medical purposes if a doctor recommends it? Strongly favor 55% 51% 53% 44% Somewhat favor 27% 31% 27% 32% Somewhat oppose 3% 3% 4% 7% Strongly oppose 13% 13% 13% 13% Do not know 3% 2% 3% 4%
May 2013 Feb 2013 May 2010 May 2006
FO_Gay. Generally speaking...do you favor or oppose allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally? Strongly favor 38% 36% 17% Somewhat favor 16% 16% 16% Somewhat oppose 7% 7% 10% Strongly oppose 34% 34% 50% Do not know 6% 8% 7%
May 2013 Feb 2013 May 2006
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CU1. The state legislature is considering several proposals related to gay marriage and civil unions. Would you favor or oppose a constitutional amendment that would allow same sex couples to get legally married? Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Don’t favor favor oppose oppose know May 2013 37% 16% 7% 36% 4% June 2012 35% 13% 8% 41% 4% Aug 2011* 33% 17% 5% 37% 8% Jun 2009* 27% 15% 12% 40% 6%
*Wording change: The state legislature is considering several proposals related to gay marriage and civil unions. Would you favor or oppose a constitutional amendment that would allow homosexual couples to get legally married?
CU2. Would you favor or oppose a state law that would allow same sex couples to legally form civil unions, giving them some of the legal rights of married couples? Strongly favor 40% 40% 37% 33% 21% Somewhat favor 25% 23% 25% 25% 21% Somewhat oppose 7% 7% 5% 7% 11% Strongly oppose 24% 26% 29% 30% 39% Don’t know 4% 3% 5% 5% 8%
May 2013 June 2012 Aug 2011* Jun 2009* Feb 2004*
*Wording change: Would you favor or oppose a state law that would allow homosexual couples to legally form civil unions, giving them some of the legal rights of married couples?
DEMO I now have a final few questions for statistical purposes only. CNTY. Region of state (What is the name of the county you live in?) 9% 12% 12% 9% 9% 26% 24% Philadelphia Northeast Allegheny Southwest Northwest Central Southeast
AGE. What was your age on your last birthday? 4% 8% 9% 17% 23% 39% 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 and older
EDUC. What was the highest grade level of schooling you have completed? 3% 29% 16% 12% 20% 20% Non high school graduate High school graduate or GED Some college Two-year or tech degree Four year college degree Post graduate degree
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MAR. What is your CURRENT marital status…are you single, married, separated, divorced, or a widower? 17% 65% 0% 7% 11% Single, Never Married Married Separated Divorced Widow or widower
IDEO. Politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative? Liberal May 2013 Feb 2013 Oct 2012 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2011 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 GUN. Are you a gun owner? 35% 65% Yes No 24% 26% 22% 26% 21% 25% 17% 21% 20% 24% 16% 16% 15% 19% 19% 17% 21% 19% Moderate 39% 36% 39% 34% 40% 34% 39% 39% 39% 32% 33% 37% 34% 32% 32% 35% 33% 30% Conservative 31% 35% 35% 35% 36% 36% 40% 36% 33% 37% 41% 39% 40% 40% 40% 40% 37% 42% Don’t know 6% 3% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 8% 7% 10% 8% 10% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9%
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GUN2. Generally speaking, do you favor or oppose creating more laws that regulate gun ownership? Strongly favor 43% 43% 40% 39% 39% 35% 34% 37% 37% 35% 38% 39% 39% 33% 38% 35% 42% 34% 28% 40% 33% 41% 37% 41% Somewhat favor 14% 15% 20% 15% 17% 16% 15% 15% 14% 19% 20% 16% 17% 19% 19% 20% 17% 18% 20% 14% 22% 18% 18% 19% Somewhat oppose 11% 10% 14% 12% 15% 15% 17% 14% 16% 17% 14% 13% 16% 19% 15% 15% 14% 15% 14% 11% 15% 14% 15% 11% Strongly oppose 30% 28% 23% 31% 26% 26% 28% 27% 27% 22% 20% 25% 23% 23% 20% 23% 21% 26% 29% 28% 24% 22% 22% 24% Don’t know 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 8% 6% 7% 6% 7% 8% 8% 6% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 9% 7% 6% 6% 9% 5%
May 2013 Feb 2013* Aug 2007 Jun 2007 Feb 2007 Oct 2006* Sep 2006* Aug 2006* May 2006* Feb 2006 Nov 2005 Sep 2005 Jun 2005 Oct 2004* Sep 2004* Aug 2004* Mar 2004* Oct 2002* Sep 2002* Jun 2002* Oct 2001* Apr 2001* Oct 2000* Feb 2000*
*Question asked of registered respondents only
Hisp. Are you Hispanic or Latino, or not? 3% 97% Yes No
RACE. Which of the following categories best describes your racial background? 89% 11% White Non-white
REL. Do you consider yourself to be Protestant, Catholic, some other religion, or not affiliated with any religion? 38% 31% 16% 14% Protestant Catholic Some other religion Not affiliated with any religion
BAC. Do you consider yourself to be a born-again Christian or fundamentalist, or not? 26% 73% 1% Yes No Don’t know
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WORK. Are you currently working fulltime, part-time, going to school, keeping house or something else? 35% 13% 3% 7% 2% 4% 36% Fulltime Part-time Going to school Keeping house Unemployed Disabled Retired
INC1. And, just for statistical purposes, we need to know if your total family income is above or below $50,000 per year? 12% 11% 15% 22% 16% 18% 5% Under $25,000 $25-$35,000 $35-50,000 $50-75,000 $75-100,000 Over $100,000 Don’t know
DONE. Sex of respondent: 48% 52% Male Female
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Franklin & Marshall College Poll
SURVEY OF PENNSYLVANIANS SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Prepared by: Center for Opinion Research Floyd Institute for Public Policy Franklin & Marshall College
BERWOOD A. YOST DIRECTOR, FLOYD INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY DIRECTOR, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH HEAD METHODOLOGIST, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL G. TERRY MADONNA DIRECTOR, CENTER FOR POLITICS AND PUBLIC AFFAIRS DIRECTOR, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL ANGELA N. KNITTLE SENIOR PROJECT MANAGER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH PROJECT MANAGER, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLL KAY K. HUEBNER PROGRAMMER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH
May 8, 2013
Table of Contents
KEY FINDINGS ..............................................................................................3 GOVERNOR CORBETT’S JOB PERFORMANCE ...................................................3 STATE LIQUOR STORE PRIVATIZATION .............................................................5 METHODOLOGY ...........................................................................................6 ATTACHMENT A ...........................................................................................7 ATTACHMENT B ...........................................................................................8 MARGINAL FREQUENCY REPORT .............................................................9
The Franklin & Marshall College Poll is produced in conjunction with the Philadelphia Daily News, WGAL-TV (South Central PA), Pittsburgh Tribune Review, WTAE-TV (Pittsburgh), WPVI-TV6/ABC (Philadelphia), Times-Shamrock Newspapers, Harrisburg Patriot-News, and Lancaster Newspapers. It may be used in whole or in part, 2Marshall College. provided any use is attributed to Franklin &
Key Findings
The May 2013 Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvania registered voters finds a majority (58%) believes the state is “off on the wrong track” and only one in four (25%) believes Governor Tom Corbett has performed sufficiently well to deserve re-election. The Poll also finds fewer registered voters support selling the state-owned liquor stores (47%) than did so in February (53%).
Governor Corbett’s Job Performance
One in four (25%) registered Pennsylvania voters believes Governor Corbett is doing an “excellent” or “good” job as governor, which is similar to the ratings he received in the February 2013 Franklin & Marshall College Poll. His job performance ratings are much lower than either Governor Rendell or Governor Ridge at similar points in their first terms (see Figure 1). Two in five (39%) Republicans, one in three (33%) independents, and one in ten (11%) Democrats rate his performance as “excellent” or “good.” Only one in four (25%) voters believes Governor Corbett has performed sufficiently well to deserve re-election. Few Democrats (12%) or independent voters (20%) believe he deserves re-election, but, surprisingly, less than half (46%) of Republicans do.
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Figure 1:
Comparison of Pennsylvania Governors’ Job Performance Ratings
How would you rate the way that [fill Governor] is handling his job as Governor? Would you say he is doing… an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job as Governor?
The Governor’s difficulties with voters may be due in part from the priorities he has emphasized in recent months. Debate in the state capital has centered on efforts to privatize the state liquor stores and the state lottery, but these issues rank well below the economy, creating jobs, or improving public schools as important issues voters want state government to address (see Figure 2). Few voters grade the Governor’s job performance on these issues, improving the economy (15%), creating jobs (13%), or improving public education (11%), as an “A” or “B.”
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Figure 2:
PA Registered Voters’ Issue Priorities
I’m going to read some issues that affect the state. For each one, please tell me how important it is for the state’s elected officials to address. Please give each issue a score between one and ten, where one means that it is NOT important at all and ten means it is VERY important for the state to address. How important is it that state elected officials…
State Liquor Store Privatization
A plurality (47%) of the state’s registered voters supports selling the state-owned liquor stores to private companies, which is significantly lower than it was in February (53%). Support for selling the state stores has declined from February among both Republicans (54%, down from 61%) and Democrats (41%, down from 48%). More registered voters believe the state-owned liquor stores should continue as they are (31%) or be modernized (26%) than believe they should be sold to private companies (37%). If the state stores are sold, respondents most often say the money should be used to assist local schools (32%) or reduce local property taxes (26%).
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Methodology
The survey findings presented in this release are based on the results of interviews conducted April 30 – May 5, 2013. The interviews were conducted at the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College under the direction of the poll’s Director Dr. G. Terry Madonna, Head Methodologist Berwood Yost, and Senior Project Manager Angela Knittle. The data included in this release represent the responses of 526 Pennsylvania registered voters, including 265 Democrats, 196 Republicans, and 65 registered as Independent/Other. The sample of registered voters was obtained from Voter Contact Services. Survey results were weighted (region, gender, and party) using an iterative weighting algorithm to reflect the known distribution of those characteristics as reported by the Pennsylvania Department of State. The sample error for this survey is +/- 4.3 percentage points. In addition to sampling error, this poll is also subject to other sources of non-sampling error. Generally speaking, two sources of error concern researchers most. Non-response bias is created when selected participants either choose not to participate in the survey or are unavailable for interviewing. Response errors are the product of the question and answer process. Surveys that rely on selfreported behaviors and attitudes are susceptible to biases related to the way respondents process and respond to survey questions.
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Attachment A
Favorability: Governor Corbett, Pennsylvania February 2013
Please let me know your opinion of some people involved in politics today. Is your opinion of Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Tom Corbett to have an opinion? Favorable Political Party* Republican Democrat Independent/Other Ideology* Liberal Moderate Conservative Gender* Male Female Age** 18-34 35-54 55 and over Education* High school or less Some college College degree Household Income Less than $35,000 $35-75,000 Over $75,000 Race* White Non-White Marital Status Single, Never Married Married Not currently married Religious Affiliation Protestant Catholic Other, unaffiliated Born Again Christian or Fundamentalist Yes No Gun Owner* Yes No Region Northeast Philadelphia Southeast Northwest Central Allegheny Southwest Employment Fulltime Other Retired 27% 35% 27% 29% 26% 25% 30% 17% 20% 31% 31% 34% 31% 21% 37% 27% 38% 25% 35% 19% 28% 29% 28% 27% 39% 28% 27% 32% 39% 36% 58% 50% 45% 55% 44% 60% 52% 45% 43% 45% 42% 50% 40% 48% 38% 50% 39% 53% 45% 34% 48% 53% 44% 49% 44% 44% 16% 19% 13% 11% 18% 16% 17% 6% 15% 16% 16% 14% 18% 16% 12% 16% 19% 14% 19% 12% 19% 27% 15% 11% 5% 15% 16% 17% 17% 10% 3% 11% 11% 4% 9% 16% 13% 8% 11% 6% 10% 13% 11% 9% 5% 11% 6% 16% 9% 10% 9% 8% 12% 9% 14% 6% 32% 24% 30% 29% 50% 49% 22% 16% 14% 18% 10% 7% 33% 25% 49% 43% 12% 19% 6% 13% 14% 22% 49% 75% 49% 19% 5% 20% 19% 7% 9% 12% 48% 17% 21% 27% 61% 40% 17% 12% 28% 8% 10% 11% Unfavorable Undecided Do not know
* p<0.01
** p<0.05
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Attachment B
Job Performance: Governor Corbett, Pennsylvania February 2013
How would you rate the way that Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor? Would you say he is doing an…
Excellent/Good Political Party* Republican Democrat Independent/Other Ideology* Liberal Moderate Conservative Gender* Male Female Age** 18-34 35-54 55 and over Education* High school or less Some college College degree Household Income Less than $35,000 $35-75,000 Over $75,000 Race* White Non-White Marital Status Single, Never Married Married Not currently married Religious Affiliation Protestant Catholic Other, unaffiliated Born Again Christian or Fundamentalist Yes No Gun Owner* Yes No Region Northeast Philadelphia Southeast Northwest Central Allegheny Southwest Employment Fulltime Other Retired 19% 33% 22% 21% 27% 22% 24% 23% 18% 25% 28% 29% 23% 19% 29% 23% 29% 21% 34% 25% 25% 11% 25% 18% 26% 22% 23% 28% 31% 18% 25% 25% 24% 9% 18% 42% 39% 11% 33%
Only Fair/Poor 58% 83% 63% 88% 78% 51% 72% 70% 59% 77% 72% 73% 61% 77% 75% 71% 77% 71% 67% 73% 71% 68% 67% 74% 74% 65% 73% 67% 74% 60% 67% 71% 81% 72% 78% 72% 74% 71% 68%
Do not know 3% 6% 5% 3% 4% 7% 3% 6% 11% 5% 3% 7% 5% 1% 5% 2% 2% 4% 10% 9% 4% 4% 4% 3% 8% 6% 4% 4% 5% 6% 9% 4% 8% 3% 4% 2% 4% 6% 4%
* p<0.01
** p<0.05
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Marginal Frequency Report
Responses may not total 100% due to rounding.
REG. Some people are registered to vote, and many others are not. Are you CURRENTLY REGISTERED to vote at your present address? 100% 0% Yes No
RegPARTY. Are you currently registered as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or as something else? 37% 50% 10% 2% Republican Democrat Independent Something else
RightDir. All in all, do you think things in Pennsylvania are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track? Headed in right direction 28% 31% 30% 31% 38% 38% 34% 37% 27% 31% 30% 35% 32% 37% 39% Off on the wrong track 58% 56% 57% 56% 47% 49% 53% 53% 64% 59% 58% 55% 58% 50% 53% Don’t know 13% 13% 13% 13% 15% 13% 13% 10% 9% 10% 12% 10% 10% 13% 8%
May 2013 Aug 2012 June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010
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MIP_PA. What do you think is the MOST IMPORTANT problem facing PENNSYLVANIA TODAY? Nov 2005 23% 6% 8% 3% 16% 3% 5% 5% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 3% 0% 1% 2% 2% 0% 7% 8% Feb 2006 23% 7% 7% 1% 18% 2% 8% 8% 1% 3% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 6% 10% Aug 2006* 17% 10% 7% 0% 18% 2% 8% 7% 4% 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 5% 8% Aug 2007* 15% 10% 9% 0% 12% 1% 11% 10% 2% 7% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 5% 7% Oct 2010 39% 4% 14% 17% 8% 0% 1% 7% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 3% Aug 2011 9% 12% 11% 38% 5% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 0% 2% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 6% Aug 2012* 12% 13% 15% 30% 4% 3% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 6% May 2013* 18% 17% 16% 11% 7% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 8%
Economy Education, school Government, politicians Unemployment, personal finances Taxes Energy issues, gas prices Crime, drugs, violence, guns Healthcare, insurance Senior issues, social security Roads, infrastructure Civil liberties Environment Retaining, attracting businesses Social issues Values, morals Welfare Foreign policy, terrorism, war Gambling, slot machines Immigration Legislative pay raise Population loss Population, urban sprawl Public transportation Housing, real estate Nothing Other Don't know
*Question asked of registered respondents only
IntIss1. I’m going to read some issues that affect the state. For each one, please tell me how important it is for the state’s elected officials to address. Please give each issue a score between one and ten, where one means that it is NOT important at all and ten means it is VERY important for the state to address. How important is it that state elected officials … Mean 8.9 8.9 8.1 8.0 7.6 7.3 6.9 6.8 6.6 4.9 3.6 SD 1.8 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.7 3.0 2.4 3.0 3.2 3.0
Help create new jobs Improve the state’s economy Improve the public schools Protect the state’s environment Increase spending to repair existing roads, highways, and bridges Reform the state’s pension system Expand Medicaid to provide insurance coverage for low-income residents Repair and improve the state’s storm water runoff systems Create more laws that regulate natural gas drilling Privatize the state liquor stores Privatize the state lottery
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IntFav. Please let me know your opinion of some people involved in politics today. Is your opinion of [FILL name] favorable, unfavorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about [FILL name] to have an opinion? (rotated) Strongly favorable BARACK OBAMA May 2013 Feb 2013 Oct 2012 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Mar 2011 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 Jun 2009 Feb 2009 Oct 2008 Sep 2008 Aug 2008 TOM CORBETT May 2013 Feb 2013 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 June 2012 Jan 2012 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 32% 31% 36% 35% 25% 26% 23% 25% 17% 26% 25% 27% 23% 29% 29% 39% 38% 38% 31% 25% 7% 7% 13% 7% 7% 6% 14% 17% 12% 8% 7% 8% Somewhat favorable 20% 18% 14% 15% 21% 21% 22% 20% 24% 18% 17% 22% 21% 16% 26% 17% 18% 15% 18% 18% 22% 18% 17% 25% 25% 23% 19% 18% 15% 19% 17% 14% Somewhat unfavorable 7% 9% 7% 6% 8% 11% 12% 12% 11% 12% 13% 10% 11% 12% 9% 6% 8% 8% 9% 7% 12% 18% 13% 15% 14% 15% 8% 8% 5% 7% 5% 4% Strongly unfavorable 36% 35% 38% 36% 37% 33% 35% 32% 33% 34% 33% 29% 33% 27% 28% 21% 15% 25% 21% 22% 34% 25% 29% 27% 25% 17% 15% 9% 5% 8% 5% 3% Undecided 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 9% 8% 9% 14% 10% 11% 11% 10% 13% 7% 14% 17% 12% 17% 23% 16% 19% 14% 14% 15% 18% 24% 17% 17% 19% 17% 17% Don’t know 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 4% 3% 3% 5% 10% 12% 14% 13% 14% 20% 21% 31% 45% 40% 49% 54%
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Strongly favorable BOB CASEY May 2013 Feb 2013 Oct 2012 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 June 2012 Jan 2012 Mar 2011 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 Jun 2009 Feb 2009 PAT TOOMEY May 2013 Feb 2013 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 17% 13% 16% 14% 11% 14% 9% 6% 10% 9% 13% 9% 11% 17% 11% 11% 12% 11% 6% 15% 12% 11% 6% 8% 6% 6% 5% 7%
Somewhat favorable 26% 27% 20% 23% 25% 24% 20% 19% 23% 24% 20% 23% 21% 24% 21% 19% 23% 15% 17% 15% 13% 14% 10% 10% 10% 9% 11% 11%
Somewhat unfavorable 9% 11% 12% 13% 12% 10% 9% 11% 9% 10% 9% 11% 9% 10% 12% 9% 11% 8% 7% 10% 7% 8% 4% 5% 2% 4% 5% 4%
Strongly unfavorable 13% 13% 19% 16% 10% 8% 8% 8% 11% 11% 9% 9% 12% 8% 5% 8% 11% 12% 6% 16% 9% 12% 5% 5% 5% 3% 5% 6%
Undecided 17% 16% 14% 13% 16% 14% 18% 19% 16% 17% 15% 17% 15% 17% 17% 21% 15% 16% 22% 16% 17% 19% 15% 13% 15% 13% 10% 9%
Don’t know 18% 21% 19% 22% 27% 29% 35% 37% 31% 29% 34% 31% 32% 24% 34% 32% 28% 37% 42% 28% 43% 36% 60% 59% 62% 65% 64% 63%
Rate_Gov. How would you rate the way that Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor? Would you say he is doing an… Excellent Job 3% 2% 4% 3% 5% 6% 5% Good Job 22% 24% 26% 25% 33% 26% 26% Only a Fair Job 39% 41% 36% 40% 43% 46% 39% Poor Job 32% 26% 28% 26% 11% 14% 13% Don’t Know 5% 6% 6% 6% 8% 9% 18%
May 2013 Feb 2013 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011
DesREGov. Do you believe that Tom Corbett has done a good enough job as Governor to deserve reelection, or do you believe it is time for a change? 25% 64% 11% Deserves re-election Time for a change Do not know
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IntGrMyr I am going to read you a list of problems and issues that the state government is supposed to take care of. For each item, please tell me how well Governor Corbett’s administration has performed in each area, using an A, B, C, D, or F. How about ______(rotated)? Would you rate the Governor's performance… A for excellent, B for very good, C for average, D for below average or F for failing? A Improving the state’s economy Improving the condition of Pennsylvania’s roads, bridges, and transit systems Making the state government operate more efficiently Helping to create new jobs Improving public education Managing the state’s finances Protecting the state’s environment 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 4% 3% B 13% 15% 11% 11% 10% 16% 18% C 41% 38% 38% 38% 32% 36% 36% D 26% 25% 22% 28% 26% 21% 16% F 12% 13% 14% 14% 25% 13% 15% Don’t know 7% 8% 12% 8% 7% 9% 14%
RateSenT. How would you rate the way that Pat Toomey is handling his job as U.S. SENATOR? Would you say he is doing an… Excellent Job 4% 3% 5% 3% Good Job 27% 29% 24% 25% Only a Fair Job 39% 40% 37% 36% Poor Job 10% 11% 14% 10% Don’t Know 21% 18% 20% 27%
May 2013 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011
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RatePres. How would you rate the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Would you say he is doing… an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job as President? Excellent job May 2013 Feb 2013 Oct 2012 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 Oct 2009 Aug 2009 Jun 2009 Mar 2009 Feb 2009 14% 14% 17% 18% 12% 13% 11% 9% 9% 9% 7% 8% 10% 9% 14% 12% 12% 11% 17% 14% 20% 23% 25% Good job 30% 28% 29% 29% 31% 29% 26% 31% 28% 25% 28% 24% 26% 28% 24% 28% 29% 27% 23% 33% 35% 37% 30% Only a fair job 22% 23% 20% 19% 23% 30% 29% 29% 31% 33% 30% 31% 33% 28% 32% 27% 32% 32% 31% 29% 25% 22% 23% Poor job 33% 34% 33% 33% 33% 28% 35% 30% 32% 33% 34% 36% 30% 35% 29% 32% 27% 29% 28% 24% 19% 14% 13% Don’t know 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 4% 9%
IntISS Now I'd like to ask you about some issues currently being discussed in the state… Q21. Some people believe Pennsylvania should get out of the business of selling wine and spirits and are talking about selling the state's liquor stores to private companies. Do you support or oppose the state of Pennsylvania selling the state-owned liquor stores to private companies? Strongly support 30% 34% 35% 42% Somewhat support 17% 19% 15% 13% Somewhat oppose 9% 10% 8% 6% Strongly oppose 31% 24% 29% 24% Do not know 13% 12% 13% 15%
May 2013* Feb 2013* May 2010 June 2002
*Question asked of registered respondents only
LiqSt1. If the state liquor stores are sold, how do you think the money should be used…(rotated)? 32% 17% 26% 13% 7% 5% To assist local school districts To fund road and bridge improvements To reduce property taxes To pay for health and human services programs, or For something else? Do not know
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LiqSt2. Instead of selling the state liquor stores to private companies, some state lawmakers have proposed modernizing the state liquor system to make it more customer-friendly with changes such as expanding the number of state liquor stores open for Sunday sales or allowing wine to be ordered online and shipped to customers’ homes. Do you think the state liquor stores should be…(rotated)? 37% 26% 31% 6% Sold to private companies, Modernized, or Continue as they are? Do not know
IntGuns. I’m going to ask you about some gun control ideas that are currently being talked about. For each, please tell me if you FAVOR or OPPOSE the proposal. First, do you favor or oppose… Strongly Favor Somewhat Favor Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Do Not Know
Requiring background checks for all gun sales May 2013 83% 6% Feb 2013 87% 7% Banning high-capacity ammunition magazines May 2013 53% 8% Feb 2013 53% 8% Banning the sale of assault weapons May 2013 52% 9% Feb 2013 55% 6%
2% 3% 10% 10% 10% 12%
7% 4% 26% 25% 27% 24%
2% 0% 3% 3% 2% 3%
Legal_MJ. Do you think the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not? Yes May 2013 Feb 2013 May 2010 May 2006 38% 36% 33% 22% No 54% 55% 60% 72% Do not know 8% 9% 7% 6%
FO_MJ. Generally speaking...do you favor or oppose allowing adults to legally use marijuana for medical purposes if a doctor recommends it? Strongly favor 55% 51% 53% 44% Somewhat favor 27% 31% 27% 32% Somewhat oppose 3% 3% 4% 7% Strongly oppose 13% 13% 13% 13% Do not know 3% 2% 3% 4%
May 2013 Feb 2013 May 2010 May 2006
FO_Gay. Generally speaking...do you favor or oppose allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally? Strongly favor 38% 36% 17% Somewhat favor 16% 16% 16% Somewhat oppose 7% 7% 10% Strongly oppose 34% 34% 50% Do not know 6% 8% 7%
May 2013 Feb 2013 May 2006
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CU1. The state legislature is considering several proposals related to gay marriage and civil unions. Would you favor or oppose a constitutional amendment that would allow same sex couples to get legally married? Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Don’t favor favor oppose oppose know May 2013 37% 16% 7% 36% 4% June 2012 35% 13% 8% 41% 4% Aug 2011* 33% 17% 5% 37% 8% Jun 2009* 27% 15% 12% 40% 6%
*Wording change: The state legislature is considering several proposals related to gay marriage and civil unions. Would you favor or oppose a constitutional amendment that would allow homosexual couples to get legally married?
CU2. Would you favor or oppose a state law that would allow same sex couples to legally form civil unions, giving them some of the legal rights of married couples? Strongly favor 40% 40% 37% 33% 21% Somewhat favor 25% 23% 25% 25% 21% Somewhat oppose 7% 7% 5% 7% 11% Strongly oppose 24% 26% 29% 30% 39% Don’t know 4% 3% 5% 5% 8%
May 2013 June 2012 Aug 2011* Jun 2009* Feb 2004*
*Wording change: Would you favor or oppose a state law that would allow homosexual couples to legally form civil unions, giving them some of the legal rights of married couples?
DEMO I now have a final few questions for statistical purposes only. CNTY. Region of state (What is the name of the county you live in?) 9% 12% 12% 9% 9% 26% 24% Philadelphia Northeast Allegheny Southwest Northwest Central Southeast
AGE. What was your age on your last birthday? 4% 8% 9% 17% 23% 39% 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 and older
EDUC. What was the highest grade level of schooling you have completed? 3% 29% 16% 12% 20% 20% Non high school graduate High school graduate or GED Some college Two-year or tech degree Four year college degree Post graduate degree
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MAR. What is your CURRENT marital status…are you single, married, separated, divorced, or a widower? 17% 65% 0% 7% 11% Single, Never Married Married Separated Divorced Widow or widower
IDEO. Politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative? Liberal May 2013 Feb 2013 Oct 2012 Sep 2012 Aug 2012 June 2012 Feb 2012 Jan 2011 Oct 2011 Aug 2011 Mar 2011 Oct 2010 Sep 2010 Aug 2010 May 2010 Mar 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010 GUN. Are you a gun owner? 35% 65% Yes No 24% 26% 22% 26% 21% 25% 17% 21% 20% 24% 16% 16% 15% 19% 19% 17% 21% 19% Moderate 39% 36% 39% 34% 40% 34% 39% 39% 39% 32% 33% 37% 34% 32% 32% 35% 33% 30% Conservative 31% 35% 35% 35% 36% 36% 40% 36% 33% 37% 41% 39% 40% 40% 40% 40% 37% 42% Don’t know 6% 3% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 8% 7% 10% 8% 10% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9%
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GUN2. Generally speaking, do you favor or oppose creating more laws that regulate gun ownership? Strongly favor 43% 43% 40% 39% 39% 35% 34% 37% 37% 35% 38% 39% 39% 33% 38% 35% 42% 34% 28% 40% 33% 41% 37% 41% Somewhat favor 14% 15% 20% 15% 17% 16% 15% 15% 14% 19% 20% 16% 17% 19% 19% 20% 17% 18% 20% 14% 22% 18% 18% 19% Somewhat oppose 11% 10% 14% 12% 15% 15% 17% 14% 16% 17% 14% 13% 16% 19% 15% 15% 14% 15% 14% 11% 15% 14% 15% 11% Strongly oppose 30% 28% 23% 31% 26% 26% 28% 27% 27% 22% 20% 25% 23% 23% 20% 23% 21% 26% 29% 28% 24% 22% 22% 24% Don’t know 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 8% 6% 7% 6% 7% 8% 8% 6% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 9% 7% 6% 6% 9% 5%
May 2013 Feb 2013* Aug 2007 Jun 2007 Feb 2007 Oct 2006* Sep 2006* Aug 2006* May 2006* Feb 2006 Nov 2005 Sep 2005 Jun 2005 Oct 2004* Sep 2004* Aug 2004* Mar 2004* Oct 2002* Sep 2002* Jun 2002* Oct 2001* Apr 2001* Oct 2000* Feb 2000*
*Question asked of registered respondents only
Hisp. Are you Hispanic or Latino, or not? 3% 97% Yes No
RACE. Which of the following categories best describes your racial background? 89% 11% White Non-white
REL. Do you consider yourself to be Protestant, Catholic, some other religion, or not affiliated with any religion? 38% 31% 16% 14% Protestant Catholic Some other religion Not affiliated with any religion
BAC. Do you consider yourself to be a born-again Christian or fundamentalist, or not? 26% 73% 1% Yes No Don’t know
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WORK. Are you currently working fulltime, part-time, going to school, keeping house or something else? 35% 13% 3% 7% 2% 4% 36% Fulltime Part-time Going to school Keeping house Unemployed Disabled Retired
INC1. And, just for statistical purposes, we need to know if your total family income is above or below $50,000 per year? 12% 11% 15% 22% 16% 18% 5% Under $25,000 $25-$35,000 $35-50,000 $50-75,000 $75-100,000 Over $100,000 Don’t know
DONE. Sex of respondent: 48% 52% Male Female
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