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FTTH – New Business Opportunity

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fiber to the home

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FTTH – new business opportunity

Krzysztof Sieczkowski Warsaw, 23 June 2008

Internet access evolution

Development of services
Development of services
Functionality / Benefit for customers
Digital TV Broadband Media
music gaming home networking channels & choises VOD, PVR, HD integration with VoIP Networking WEB 2.0

HDTV
very high speed Internet – up to 100Mbps (up & down) giga mail multiroom …

Enhanced Web Access Web Access
e-mail search commerce music photos short video

TP has been developing services on modern technology

56 k

115 k/128 k

2M

6M

15 M

>15 M

bandwidth

100 M

1998 Dial-up

2002 SDI

2004 ADSL

2005

2006 ADSL 2+

2007

2008

FTTB / FTTH

Development of technology
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Regarding: NGN Conference

FTTH – main advantages in long perspective
Business objectives:
New generation services: a personalized equipment pack - HD TV, high speed Internet – up to 100 Mbps (up/down), smart home ARPU increase due to new offer Capability of complex offer delivery Advantage over competitors

Technological possibilities:
Huge bandwidth, independence on the distance from the switch - lack of technical limitations Higher technical reliability - lower interference sensitivity, faults no. (less active points) etc.

Capex of broadband internet in FTTH will be comparable to copper/ADSL due to:
Copper line price increase G.PON technology cost reduction – mainly: ONT, splitters

Opex savings – passive elements only Future solution – extra development is not necessary in comparison with copper/ADSL and
wireless solutions
Regarding: NGN Conference

3

FTTH new possibilities
Model of service integration
FTTH
Today – via copper line: BB up to 24 Mbps downstream
www browsing E-mailing Databases E-learning Household security Interactive Household Interactive gaming security gaming E-shopping, e-banking etc. Teleworking Communicators – gadu-gadu, tlen, icq Content – music, films, games, multimedia

Voice over IP

Videophone

@
TV

IP TV VoD VoIP

Voice over IP
VH BB (Wi-Fi)

Internet HD TV

Videophone
Onephone
Home gateway Home gateway

@

FTTH
Music

Security

Tomorrow – via FTTH: VH BB up to 100 Mbps up & down
E-healthcare E-government

Livebox

HD TV Multiroom (n x TV set)
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Regarding: NGN Conference

FTTH Worldwide
FTTH Worldwide mid 2007
Japan – FTTH leader
FTTH-subscribers exceed 10 million households

~2.0M USA
FTTH-subscribers exceed 2 million households Nearly 10 million households passed FTTH-growth-rate more than 100% Power of Cable operators: Time Warner, Comcast, CableVision launching 30 or 50 Mbps offers

~1.2M

~18M

Nearly 300.000 new subs./month DSL migrates to FTTH: number of DSL-subscribers decrease since Q02/2006 Nearly 60.000 subs./month switch from DSL to FTTH

Europe
Over 1 million FTTH/B subscribers in EU 31 (27+4) (2007) 23% growth compared with 12 months previously 86% of FTTH/B subscribers are concentrated in 5 countries (Sweden, Italy, Norway, the Netherlands and Denmark). Majority of projects driven by municipalities and utilitycompanies

Worldwide FTTH Deployment Forecast
(Households, 2005-2012) Househols connected (Millions)
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

89,6 69 51,4 39,4 28,8 20,2 6,2
2005

… Future proofing is one of the greatest advantages of FTTH… … No one can exactly predict what technologies will develop in the coming years. So the best bet is to prepare for everything…

11,5

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

[Richard Jean-Pierre, product manager, Suttle]

Source: Heavy Reading, ‘FTTH Worldwide Market & Technology Forecast, 2006-2012’ 5 Regarding: NGN Conference

FTTx access network scenarios

FTTC Fibre to the cabinet From the cabinet copper (ADSL) is used up to the CPE on client side

FTTB Fibre to the building Copper cables between building basement and customer
ONU

FTTH Fibre to the home Fibre extended to customer premises, no copper cables

6

Regarding: NGN Conference

FTTx capex aspect

Based on current prices – FTTH capex is on average 50% higher than copper / DSL. Taking into account price decrease in case of mass deployment (esp. for ONT and fiber optic) and an upward trend in copper lines prices – FTTH looks promising in terms of capex in coming years. Expected capex savings – ca 30% within 5 years – due to mass deployment mainly in lines:
– ONT (optical network termination) – internal network – GPON

7

Regarding: NGN Conference

FTTx – geomarketing approach

Technology FTTC
(fiber to the curb)

FTTB
(fiber to the building)

FTTH
(fiber to the home)

Existing HH

Based on existing infrastructure, limited to profitable developers and last mile for individual HH

To be developed in the future depending on business case results

New HH developer
If BC for FTTH/FTTB negative (VDSL over FFTC to be considered) Limited to profitable clients, the other – to be covered by CDMA If BC for FTTH negative – FTTB with VDSL as recommended solution Not planned FTTH as recommended solution for developer market To be developed in the future depending on business case results

New HH individual
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Regarding: NGN Conference

FTTH pilot in TP network

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Regarding: NGN Conference

FTTH pilot in TP network
FTTH 2007/08 deployment in Poland - technical pilot in Warsaw: Site: Warsaw, Górczewska Str., residential block (265 households covered) Vendor: Alcatel&Lucent Connecting customers / service delivery: first residents in March; first clients – April Services: Very High Speed Broadband (50Mb/s down and 10Mb/s up, IPTV, VoD, VOIP) FTTH pilot goals: Technological readiness to provide TP services, confirmed by: Positive E2E test results Implementation of solution in TP network
Current status: first client connected in Apr-08 (HH settlement process in progress) 30 customers connected at present

10

Regarding: NGN Conference

Offer

Multipakiet tp 50Mb/s
incl.: • BB Internet access 50/10 Mbps • videostrada tp (pakiet podstawowy tp) • VoD • VoIP Additionally available: • neostrada / videostrada in every room

49 PLN
* until Jun-09

fibre copper

kitchen

living room

bathroom

Dedicated Customer Care
incl.: • Sales representatives • 7/24 CC • Technical staff • Other (e.g. R&D, IT&N)
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Regarding: NGN Conference

FTTH (GPON) - network architecture
V5.2

Voice Gateway
Gb E

Local Exchange PSTN

POTS PC
10/ 1 00 Bas eT

FX S

FXS

a se T 00B 1 0/1

GbE

Aggregation Network
Gb E

GbE
BRAS

Internet

VoIP
/ 10 se Ba 10 0 T

ONT OLT „Optical” Livebox

IP TV/ VoD server

Multi media

G bE

TV

STB
Call Server



3 fundamental components:
• • • ONT (Optical Network Termination ) ODN (Optical Distribution Network) Splitter OLT (Optical Line Termination)

VoIP

• • •

64 subscribers per 1 optical fibre 2,5 Gb/s Downstream / 1490 nm 1,25 Gb/s Upstream / 1310 nm (TDMA – Time Division Multiple Access)

*FTTH – Fiber to the Home GPON – Gigabit Passive Optical Network

12

Regarding: NGN Conference

Summary

FTTH is future proof access solution in terms of:
Technology aspect Marketing opportunities Business profitability

TP is ready for FTTH investments if stable and predictable regulatory policy

13

Regarding: NGN Conference

thank you ☺

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