Iowa Poll results: U.S. Senate primary

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The Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters was taken May 27-30 by Selzer & Co. It has margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

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_______________
SELZER & COMPANY
PAGE 1
THE IOWA POLL

SELZER & COMPANY Study #2100
400 Likely Republican primary voters May 27-30, 2014
Margin of error: ± 4.9 percentage points Weighted by age and sex general population values
for all 1,869 contacts, both completes and terminates

How likely is it you will vote in the Republican primary election for U.S. Senate and some other offices to be held in
June—will you definitely vote, probably vote, might or might not vote, probably not vote, or have you already voted?

9 Already voted
Continue
91 Definitely vote
- Probably vote
Collect age and sex and terminate
- Might or might not vote
- Probably not vote
- Refused/not sure

I'd like to begin by mentioning the names of some candidates running for or already holding statewide office. For each
name I read, please tell me if your feelings toward the person are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable,
or very unfavorable. If you don’t know the person, just say so. (Record “don’t know” as “not sure.” Rotate list.).


Very
Favorable
Mostly
Favorable
Mostly
Unfavorable
Very
Unfavorable
Not
Sure

Sam Clovis, a professor of business
and public policy 10 15 7 5 63
Joni Ernst, a state senator
26 22 9 14 29
Mark Jacobs, a retired businessman
12 31 11 8 38
Scott Schaben, a car sales manager
2 7 8 8 75
Matt Whitaker, a former U.S.
attorney 7 29 7 7 50

If the Republican primary were held today, which one of the following Republican candidates for U.S. Senator
would you vote for? (If none of these or not sure:) Toward which candidate would you say you are leaning, or
support the most? (Read list. Rotate list.)

Sam Clovis 11
Joni Ernst 36
Mark Jacobs 18
Scott Schaben 2
Matt Whitaker 13
None of these/someone else (VOL) 4
Not sure 16

When it comes to your support of [CANDIDATE NAMED IN Q.3), would you say your mind is made up, or could you
still be persuaded to support another candidate as your first choice?

All Ernst Jacobs
n=400 n=151 n=84
27 38 26 Mind is made up
72 61 73 Could still be persuaded
1 1 1 Not sure
_______________
SELZER & COMPANY
PAGE 2
I’m going to mention some traits or experiences a U.S. Senate candidate might have. For each, please tell me if it
makes you more likely or less likely to support that kind of candidate. (Rotate list.)


More
Likely
Less
Likely
Not
Sure

Returned to Iowa to run for the Senate after living in Texas for
many years 18 61 21
If elected, would be the first woman from Iowa to serve in
Congress 46 21 33
Has been endorsed by Sarah Palin, a vice-presidential candidate
in 2008 45 39 16
Has a background in business and Wall Street finance
59 27 14
Is a trial lawyer
29 51 20
Is spending millions of his or her own money to fund the
campaign 47 33 20
Has served in the military
88 5 7
Has held elected office
58 25 17
Played football at the University of Iowa
21 43 36
Is part of the Christian conservative movement
61 24 15
Has said only judges who hold a Biblical view should be
confirmed to federal court 38 47 15
Has missed over 100 of the votes held in the Iowa Senate last
session 10 78 12
Has been endorsed by Rick Perry, the governor of Texas
37 41 22
Has been endorsed by Mitt Romney, the 2012 Republican
nominee for president 50 34 16

I want to ask about your perception of how conservative or moderate you feel the candidates are. Thinking
about a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means extremely conservative, and 1 means moderate, where would you say
each of the following falls? If you don’t know enough to say, just tell me. (Record “don’t know” as “not
sure.” Rotate list.)


Coded—Based on all


Base with
not sures
removed
Exact
number
(mean,
median)
More
conservative
8-10 4-7
More
moderate
1-3
Not
Sure

Sam Clovis
(n=145) 6.312
6.895
14 13 7 66
Joni Ernst
(n=260) 6.708
7.000
30 24 8 38
Mark Jacobs
(n=234) 5.728
5.932
13 32 9 46
Scott Schaben
(n=88) 4.953
5.000
4 11 6 79
Matt Whitaker
(n=160) 6.125
6.410
13 23 4 60

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