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PLSC PLS C 130 130.. GLB GLBL L 260 260.. Nuc Nucle lear ar Po Polit litics ics1

Instructor Instr uctor:: Alexa Alexandre ndre Debs Rosenkranz Hall 311 Office Hours: Hours: TTh 3.30–4.30 3.30–4.30 [email protected]

Course Info: Fall 2014 GR 109 Rosenfeld Hall TTh 1.00–2.15

Teaching Fellows/Graders: Fellows/Graders: Michael Kalin: michael michael.kali [email protected] [email protected] du William Nomikos: william.nomi william.nomikos@y [email protected] ale.edu Luis Schiumerini: [email protected]

This is a course on the Why history andnuclear politicsbombs of the dropped use, non-use, and proliferation of nuclear weapons. were on Hiroshima and Nagasaki? Naga saki? What is the effect of nuclea nuclearr weapons on int intersta erstate te crises? Why do states acquire nuclear weapons? Students will gain a better understanding of the role of nuclear weapons in international relations, the history of the Cold War, and new challen challenges ges in stemming stemming nuclear nuclear proli proliferat feration. ion. Some of the references references use game theory or statistics, but no prior knowledge of such methodologies is required. Texts and Ref Referenc erences es

Reading assignments Reading assignments are listed below. The following following books are required for purchase and will be available at the Yale Bookstore, 77 Broadway at York Square. (They will also be put on reserve at Bass Library, for 24-hour loans). •



 Schelling, Thomas C. 2008 [1966].  Arms and Influence . New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.   Sagan, Sagan, Sco Scott tt D. and Kenn Kenneth eth N. Waltz. altz. 201 2012. 2.   The Spre Spread ad of Nuclea Nuclear  r  Weap eapons: ons: An Enduring Debate.   (3rd Edition). Edition). New York, York, N.Y.: N.Y.: W.W. Norton and Company.

Other references below will be available as electronic resources on the classes*v2 website. Students are expected to read the materials prior to class.

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This draft: draft: Septem September ber 3, 2014.

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Course Requirements

The course grade breaks down as follows follows:: Participation (10%): Stude Participation (10%): Students nts are expect expected ed to actively actively participat participatee in discussions. Response Memos (10%): Memos (10%): After shopping period, students will be assigned to a handful of days for which they are expected to write a short memo about the reading reading assignment. assignment. A memo should be about one page in length, length, singlespaced (500-750 words). It should present an opinion on the reading assignment. Students must submit their memo in the ‘Forum’ section of the classesv2 website by 12noon on the day before class. Mid-term (30%): Mid-term  (30%): The mid-term is scheduled for Thursday October 16. Debate statement (15%) statement  (15%):: In small groups, studen students ts must submit a written statement on the question ‘Would Nuclear Weapons Be a Force for Lasting Peace Pea ce in the Middle East?’. East?’. It is due on Tuesday uesday November November 18. Groups Groups will be randomly assigned to defend the affirmative or negative position. The statement should be no longer than 15 pages, double-spaced (including footnotes but exclud excluding ing refer referenc ences) es).. Som Somee groups groups will be random randomly ly picke picked d to presen presentt their argument on Thursday December 4. Final exam (35%) exam (35%):: The final exam wil willl be held at a date and time specified specified by the university. Academic Ac ademic Inte Integrity  grity 

Students should be familiar with the University’s  policies  on academic integrity and disciplinary action, as cheating will be dealt with severely. Course Cours e Outli Outline ne

1.   Introduction Thursday August 28: no class (APSA) (a)  Overview of the Course  (Tuesday September 2) Technology chnology of Nuclear Weap Weapons ons - The Manhatt M anhattan an Project  (Thursday (b)   The Te   (Thursday September 4) Required Reading   Schroeer, Dietrich. Dietrich. 1984.   Science, Technology, and the Nuclear  Arms Race.  New York, N.Y.: John Wiley and Sons. Chapter 2: ‘The Fission Bomb’ (pp. 14-57).  Sherwin, Martin. Martin. 2003.   A World Destr Destroye oyed: d: Hir Hiroshi oshima ma and Its  Legacies . Stanford, Stanford, CA: Stanfo Stanford rd Universit University y Press. Chapters Chapters 1 and 2 (pp.13-63). •



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2.  The Use and Non-Use of Nuclear Weapons (a)  On the Battlefield - Hiroshima  (Tuesday September 9) Required Reading:   Alperovitz Alperovitz,, Gar. 1995. ‘Hir ‘Hiroshim oshima: a: Historia Historians ns Reassess.’ Reassess.’   Foreign Policy.  99 (Summer): 15-34.   Rhodes, Ric Richard. hard. 1986.   The Making of the Atomic Bomb. New York, N.Y.: Simon and Schuster. Chapter 19 (pp. 679-747). Destroye oyed: d: Hir Hiroshi oshima ma and Its   Sherwin, Martin. Martin. 2003.   A World Destr Legacies . Stanford, Stanford, CA: Stanfo Stanford rd Universit University y Press. Chapters Chapters 8 and 9 (pp.193-238). Other Reading   Hersey, John. 1966.   Hiroshima.  New York. N.Y.: A. A. Knopf.   Bernstei Bernstein, n, Barto Barton n J. 1995. ‘The Atomic Atomic Bombings Bombings ReconsidReconsidered.’  Foreign Affairs . 74(1): 135-152.   Stimson, Henry L. 1947. ‘The Decision to Use the A Atomic tomic Bomb Bomb.’ .’ Harper’s Magazine.  194 (1161): 97-107. •













  Walker, J. Samuel. Samuel. 2005. ‘Recent Lit Literature erature on Truman’s Truman’s At Atomic omic Bomb Decision: A Search for Middle Ground.’   Diplomatic History.   29(2): 311-334.

(b)   Off the Battlefield  i.   The Cold War Heats Up - Soviet Acquisition, the Race for the  Hydrogen Bomb  (Thursday September 11) Required Reading   Hollowa Holloway y, David. 1994.   Sta Stalin lin and the Bomb Bomb:: The Sov Soviet  iet  Union and Atomic Atomic Energy, Energy, 1939 1939-1956 -1956..   New Haven: Haven: Yale University Press. Chapters 10 and 11 (pp. 196-252).  DeGroot, Gerard J. 2005.   The Bomb: Bomb: A Life . Cambrid Cambridge, ge, MA: Harvard University University Press. Chapter 10: ‘T ‘Too Little Boy Boy,, a Big Brother.’ (pp. 162-183). •



Other Reading   Craig, Craig, Campbe Campbell ll and Serge Sergey y Radchenk Radchenko. o. 2008.   The Atomic  Bomb and the Origins of the Cold War.   New Haven, CT: Yale University Press. Chapter 5 (pp. 111-134).  ‘General Advisory Committee’s Majority and Minority Reports on Building the H-Bomb.’ October 30, 1949. Available on PBS.o PBS.org rg here.  here.  “Race for the Hydrogen Bomb” at the Atomic Archive, available here. able  here.   Schroeer, Dietrich. Dietrich. 1984.   Science, Technology, and the Nuclear Arms Rac Race. e.   New Y York, ork, N.Y. N.Y.:: John Wiley Wiley and Sons. Chapter 3: ‘The Fusion Bomb’ (pp. 58-81). •







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ii.   Nuclear Deterrence  (Tuesday September 16) Required Reading  Schelling, Thomas C. 2008 [1966].  Arms and Influence . New Haven, CT: Yale University Press. Chapters 1-3 (pp. 1-125).  Schlosser, Eric. 2013.  Command and Control: Nuclear Weapons, the Dam Damasc ascus us Inc Incide ident, nt, and the Illusio Illusion n of Saf Safety ety..   New York, NY: Penguin Penguin Press. “Decapitation.” (pp. 245-275). Other Reading  Brodie, Bernard. Bernard. 1959.  Strategy in the Missile Age . PrincePrinceton, N.J.: Princeton University Press. pp. 223-264.   Jervis, Jervis, Robert. Robert. 1976.   Perception and Misperception Misperception in International Politics . Princeton, Princeton, N.J.: N.J.: Princeton Princeton Univers Universit ity y Press. Chapter 3 (pp.58-113). Meaning ng of the Nucle Nuclear ar Revo  Jervi Jervis, s, Robert Robert.. 198 1989. 9.   The Meani lution: lutio n: Statecr Statecraft aft and the Prosp Prospec ectt of Arm Armage ageddon  ddon . Ithaca Ithaca,, N.Y.: Cornell University Press.  Wohlstetter, Albert. 1959. ‘The Delicate Balance of Terror.’ •











Foreign Affairs . 37(2): 211-234. iii.  The Berlin Crisis  (Thursday September 18) Required Reading  Schlosser, Eric. 2013.  Command and Control: Nuclear Weapons, the Dam Damasc ascus us Inc Incide ident, nt, and the Illusio Illusion n of Saf Safety ety..   New York, NY: Penguin Penguin Press. “The Brink Brink.” .” (pp. 267-289). 267-289). Constructe ucted d Peac Peace: e: The Mak Trachtenberg,  Trach tenberg, Marc. 1999.  A Constr ing of the European Settlement, 1945-1963 . Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press. Chapters 7, 8 (pp. 251-351). Other Reading: Nuclea earr State Statecr craft. aft. Histo History ry and    Gavin, Gavin, Franci ranciss J. 2012.   Nucl Strate Str ategy gy in Americ America’s a’s Ato Atomic mic Age.   Ithaca, N.Y.: N.Y.: Cornell Cornell University Press. Chapter 3 (pp. 57-74).  Kaplan, Fred. 1983.  The Wizards of Armageddon . Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press. Ch.17-22 (pp. 258-327). •







iv.   The Cuban Missile Crisis  (Tuesday September 23) Required Reading   Blan Blanton ton,, Tho Thomas mas.. 201 2012. 2. ‘Th ‘Thee Cuban Missi Missile le Crisis Crisis Just Just Isn’ Isn’tt What What It Used Used to Be.’ in   The Glob Global al Cuban Cuban Missi Missile  le  •

Crisis at 50: New Evidenc Crisis Evidencee from from Behind the Iro Iron, n, Bamb Bamboo oo,, and Sugarcane Curtains, and Beyond.   James G. Hershberg



and Christi Christian an F. Ost Osterm ermann ann (eds (eds.). .). Wilson Wilson Center Center.. Cold Cold War International History Project. Issue 17/18: 11-18. Midnight: ht: Kenne Kennedy, dy,  Dobbs, Michael. Michael. 2008. 2008.   One Minute to Midnig Khrushchev, and Castro on the Brink of Nuclear War.   New York, N.Y.: Alfred A. Knopf. Chapters 1-2 (pp. 3-57).

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  Fursenko, Fursenko, Aleksandr and Timothy Naftali. 1997.   “One Hell  of a Gambl Gamble” e” : Khru Khrushche shchev, v, Castro Castro,, and Kenne Kennedy. dy. 1958 1958-64. -64.

New York York,, N. N.Y. Y.:: W.W. W.W. Norton Norton and Co. Chapte Chapterr 14 (pp. (pp. 257-289).   “Memor “Memorandum andum of a Conversat Conversation, ion, A.I. Mikoyan Mikoyan with Oswaldo wal do Dort Dorticos, icos, Ernesto Guevara, Guevara, and Carlos Rafael Rafael Rodriguez.” drigu ez.” Nov Novembe emberr 5, 1962. av availab ailable le here  here   at the Digital Archive of the Wilson Center. Other Reading   Allison, Allison, Graham and Philip D. Zelik Zelikow. ow. 1999.   Essence of  De Decisio cision: n: Explaining Explaining the Cub Cuban an Missi Missile le Crisi Crisis. s.   New York, N.Y.: Longman.   May May, Ernest Ernest R. and Philip Philip D. Zelik Zelikow ow (ed.). (ed.). 1997. 1997.   The  •





Kennedy Tap Kennedy Tapes. es. Insid Insidee the White House Duri During ng the Cub Cuban  an  Missile Crisis.  Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

v.  India and Pakistan  (Thursday September 25) Required Reading   Kapur, S. Paul. 2008. ‘T ‘Ten en Years Years of Instability Instability in Nuclear Nuclear South Asia.’   International Security . 33(2): 71-94.  Narang, Vipin. Vipin. 2010. ‘Posturi ‘Posturing ng for Peace? Pakistan’ Pakistan’ss Nuclear Postures and South Asian Stability.’   International Security . 34(3): 38-78.   Narang, Narang, Vipin Vipin.. 2014.   Nuclear Strategy in the Modern Era: Regional Powers and International Conflict.  Chapter 4: “India” (pp. 94-120). Other Reading   Sagan, Scott D. 2009. ‘The Evolutio Evolution n of Pakistani and Ind Indian ian Nuclear Nucl ear Doctrine.’ Doctrine.’ in  Inside Nuclear South Asia . Sc Scot ottt D. Sagan (ed.). Chapter 6 (pp.219-263). •







vi.   No First Use  (Tuesday September 30) Required Reading   Sagan, Sagan, Scott D. 2009. ‘The Case for No First Use Use.’ .’   Survival . 51(3): 163-182.   Halperin, Halperin, Morton Morton H., Bruno Tertrais, ertrais, Keith Keith B. Pa Payne, yne, K. Subrah Sub rahman manya yam, m, and Scot Scottt D. Sagan. Sagan. 2009. 2009. ‘F ‘Foru orum: m: The Case for No First Use: An Exchange. Exchange.’’   Survival . 51(5): 51(5): 1746.   Ullman Ullman,, Richar Richard d H. 19711971-197 1972. 2. ‘No First First Use of Nuclea Nuclearr Weapons.’  Foreign Affairs . 50(4): 669-683. Other Reading   Halperin, Halperin, Morton Morton H. 1961. ‘A Proposa Proposall for a Ban on the Use of Nuclear Weapons.’ 6 October 1961 available here. available  here. •







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vii.   The Non-Use of Nuclear Weapons  (Thursday October 2) Required Reading  Tannenw  Tann enwald, ald, Nina Nina.. 1999 1999.. ‘The Nucl Nuclear ear Taboo: Taboo: The United United •

  Inter-

States and the Normative Basis of Nuclear Non-Use.’ national Organization.   53(3): 433-468. •





 Sagan, Scott. 2004. ‘Realist ‘Realist Perspec Perspectiv tives es on Ethical Ethical Norms and Weapons of Mass Destruction.’ In Sohail H. Hashmi and Steven P. Lee (eds).  Ethics and Weapons of Mass Destruction: Religi eligious ous and Secula Secularr Persp Perspec ectives  tives . Cambri Cambridge dge,, UK: Cambridge University University Press. 73-95. [available [available here]  here]  Paul, T.V. 2009.  The Tradition of Non-Use of Nuclear Weapons . Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press. Chapter 2 (pp. 1537).  Press, Daryl G., Scott D. Sagan and Benjamin A. Valentino. 2013. ‘Atomi ‘Atomicc A Aversion: version: Experimental Evidence on T Taboos, aboos, Traditions, and the Non-Use of Nuclear Weapons.’   American  Political Science Review.   107(1): 188-206.

viii.   Non-State Actors  (Tuesday October 7) Required Reading   Allison, Graham. 2004. ‘How to Stop Nuclear Terror.’   Foreign Affairs . 83(1): 64-74.  Mueller,, John. 2010.   Atomic Obsession: Nuclea  Mueller Nuclearr Alarmism   from Hirosh Hiroshima ima to Al-Qae Al-Qaeda  da . New York, N.Y.: Oxford University Press. Chapters 12 to 15 (pp. 161-233).   Li Liebe eber, r, Kei Keirr A. and Daryl Daryl G. Pr Pres ess. s. 2013 2013.. ‘Why ‘Why Stat States es Won’t Give Nuclear Weapons to Terrorists.’   International  Security.   38(1): 80-104. Other Reading   Potter, Potter, William C., Charles Charles D. Ferguson, erguson, and Leonard S. Spector.. 2004 Spector 2004.. ‘The F Four our Faces Faces of Nuclear Terror Terror:: And the Need for a Prioritized Response.’   Fo Foreign reign Affairs . 83(3 83(3): ): 130-132.  Bunn, Matthew. 2009. ‘Reducing the Greatest Risks of Nuclear Theft and Terrorism.’   Daedalus . 138(4): 112-123. •









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3.   The Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (a)   Introduction  (Thursday October 9) Required Reading  Debs, Alexandre and Nuno P. Monteiro. 2014.  Nuclear Politics: The Str Strate ategic gic Lo Logic gic of Prolif Prolifer eration  ation . Yale Unive Universi rsity ty Mimeo. Mimeo. Chapter 1.   Sagan, Scott D. 1996-199 1996-1997. 7. ‘Why Do Stat States es Build Nuclear W Weapons?: eapons?: Three Thr ee Models Models in Sea Searc rch h of a Bomb.’ Bomb.’   International Security . 21(3): 54-86. •



Other Reading •

 Sagan, Scott D. 2011. ‘The Causes of Nuclear W Weapons eapons Proli Prolifferation.’   Annual Review of Political Science.   14(1): 225-244.

(b)   Demand-Side Explanations  i.  Liberal and Normative Approaches  (Tuesday October 14) Required Reading Nonprolif olifer eration ation Norms: Why    Rublee, Rublee, Ma Maria ria Rost Rost.. 2009 2009..   Nonpr States Choose Nuclear Restraint.   Athens, GA: The University of Georgia Press. Chapter 2 (pp. 34-52). available here available  here..   Soling Solingen, en, Etel. 199 1994. 4. ‘Th ‘Thee Polit Politica icall Econom Economy y of Nuclear Nuclear Restraint.’   International Security . 19(2): 126-169. Other Reading   Solingen, Solingen, Etel. 2007.   Nuclear Logics: Logics: Contrasting Paths in  East Asia and the Middle East . Princeton Princeton,, N.J.: Princeton Princeton University Press. Chapter 1 (pp. 3-22). •





Thursday October 16:  Mid-term ii.  Psychological and Other Leader-Based Approaches  (Tuesday October 21) Required Reading Psychology gy of Nuclea Nuclear  r    Hymans, Jacques E. C. 2006.   The Psycholo Proliferation. Prolife ration. Identity, Emotions, and Foreign Foreign Policy.   New York, N.Y.: N.Y.: Cambridg Cambridgee Unive Universit rsity y Press. Chapter Chapter 2 (pp. 16-46).  Hymans, Jacques E.C. 2012.   Achieving Nuclear Ambitions: Scientists, Politicians, and Prolifer Proliferation  ation . New York York,, N. N.Y.: Y.: Cambridge University Press. Chapter 2 (pp.41-78).  Way, Christopher and Jessica Weeks. 2013. “Making it Personal:: Regim sonal Regimee Type and Nucl Nuclear ear Proliferatio Proliferation.”  n.”   American  Journal of Political Science . 58(3): 705-719. •





Thursday October 23: no class (October recess)

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(c)   Supply-Side Explanations  (Tuesday October 28) Required Reading  Singh, Sonali and Christopher R. Way. 2004. ‘The Correlates of  •

Nuclear Proliferation: A Quantitative Test.’  Journal of Conflict  Resolution.   48(6): 859-885.  Fuhrman  Fuh rmann, n, Matthew. 2009 2009.. ‘Spre ‘Spreading ading Tempt Temptation ation:: ProliferaProliferation and Peaceful Nuclear Cooperation Agreements.’   International Security.  34(1): 7-41.   Kroeni Kroenig, g, Matt Matthew hew.. 200 2009. 9. ‘Ex ‘Export porting ing the Bomb: Bomb: Why Why States States   American Political SciProvide Sensitive Nuclear Assistance.’ ence Review.   103(1): 113-133.   Montgomery, Alexander H. 2013. ‘Stop Helping Me: When Nuclear Assistance Impedes Nuclear Programs.’ in Adam Stulberg and Matt Fuhrmann (eds.).   The Nucle Nuclear ar Renaiss enaissanc ancee and International Security . Stanf Stanford, ord, CA: Stanford Stanford University University Press. Press. 177-202. Other Reading •













  Jo, Dong-Joon Dong-Joon and Erik Gartzke. Gartzke. 2007. 2007. ‘Determi ‘Determinan nants ts of Nuclear Proliferation: A Quantitati Quantitative ve Model.’   Journal of Conflict  Resolution.   51(1): 167-194.   Kr Kroeni oenig, g, Mat Matthe thew. w. 201 2010. 0.   Exp Exportin ortingg the Bomb: Tec echnolo hnology  gy  Transfer and the Spread of Nuclear Weapons.  Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press.  F Fuhrma uhrmann, nn, Matthe Matthew. w. 2012.   Atom Atomic ic Assistanc Assistance: e: How ‘Atom ‘Atoms  s   for Peac Peace’ e’ Programs Programs Cause Nuclea Nuclearr Insecurity.   Ithaca, Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press.  Montgomery, Alexander H. and Scott D. Sagan. 2009. ‘The Perils of Predicting Proliferation.’   Journal of Conflict Resolution. 53(2): 302-328.

(d)   A Strategic Explanation  i.   Introduction  (Thursday October 30) Required Reading  Debs, Alexandre and Nuno P. Monteiro. 2014.   Nuclear Politics: The Str Strate ategic gic Lo Logic gic of Prolif Prolifer eration  ation . Yale Universit University y Mimeo. Chapters 2 and 3. •

Framework  amework  (Tuesday November 4) ii.   Proliferation and Enemies. Theoretical Fr Required Reading   Fearon, James D. 1995. ‘Rationalist Explanations for W War.’ ar.’ International Organization . 49(3): 379-414.  Debs, Alexandre and Nuno P. Monteiro. 2014. ‘Known Unknowns: Pow Power er Shifts, Uncertainty Uncertainty,, and War.’   International  Organization  68(1):   68(1): 1-15. •



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Other Reading  Bas, Muhamet A. and Andrew J. Coe. 2012. ‘Arms Diffusion and War.’   Journal of Conflict Resolution . 56(4): 651-674. •



  Powe Po well ll,, Robe Robert. rt. 2006. 2006. ‘W ‘War ar as a Commi Commitme tment nt Problem Problem.’ .’ International Organization . 60(1): 169-203.

Proliferation and Enemies. Iraq  (Thursday iii.   Proliferation   (Thursday November 6) Required Reading  Lake, David A. 2010/2012. ‘Two Cheers for Bargaining Theory: Asses Assessing sing Rationalist Rationalist Expla Explanatio nations ns of the Iraq War.’ International Security.  35(3): 7-52.  Debs, Alexandre and Nuno P. Monteiro. 2014. ‘Known Unknowns: Pow Power er Shifts, Uncertainty Uncertainty,, and War.’   International  Organization . 68(1): 15-28.   Debs Debs Al Alexa exandr ndre, e, Nun Nuno o P. Montei Monteiro, ro, and Da David vid A. Lake. Lake. 2013. 201 3. ‘Wh ‘What at Caused Caused the the Iraq War? War? A Debate Debate.’ .’ Duck Duck of  Minerva online. July 30 - August 6. •





Other Reading  Debs, Alexandre and Nuno P. Monteiro. 2014.   Nuclear Politics: The Str Strate ategic gic Lo Logic gic of Prolif Prolifer eration  ation . Yale Universit University y Mimeo. Chapters 2 and 3.   Duelfer, Charles. Charles. 2004.  Key Findings of the Comprehensive  •



Report of the Special Advisor to the DCI on Iraq’s WMD. •







  Thompson, Alexander. 2009.   Channels of Power: The U.N. Se Secur curity ity Cou Counci ncill and U.S U.S.. Sta State tecr craft aft in Iraq  Iraq . Chap Chaptter 4 (pp.86-132).   Jervis, Robert. Robert. 2010.   Why Intelligenc Intelligencee Fails: Lessons Lessons from  the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War.  Ithaca, NY: Cornell Universit University y Press. Chapt Chapter er 3 (pp. 123-155). 123-155).   Woods, Woods, Kev Kevin in M., Da David vid D. Palkk Palkkii and Mark E. Stout. Stout. 2011.  The Saddam Tapes: The Inner Workings of a Tyrant’s  Re Regime, gime, 1978-2001. New York, N.Y.: Cambridge University Press.   Brand Brands, s, Hal and David David Pal Palkki kki.. 2011. 2011. ‘Why ‘Why did Saddam Saddam Want the Bomb?’ Bomb?’ Washington ashington,, D.C.: D.C.: Foreign oreign Policy Research Institute.

iv.   Proli Proliferation feration and L Loose oose Allies: Israel, Pakistan  (Tuesday  (Tuesday November 11) Required Reading  Debs, Alexandre and Nuno P. Monteiro. 2014.   Nuclear Politics: The Str Strate ategic gic Lo Logic gic of Prolif Prolifer eration  ation . Yale Universit University y Mimeo. Chapter 5. •

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Other Reading   Ahmed, Ahmed, Samina. Samina. 1999. ‘Pakist ‘Pakistan’s an’s Nuclear Nuclear Weapons Weapons Program: Turning urning Poi Points nts and Nuclear Nuclear Choices.’ Choices.’   International  •







Security.   23(4): 178-204.  Bass, Warren. 2003.  Support Any Friend: Kennedy’s Middle  East and the Making of the U.S. – Israel Alliance.   Oxford: Oxford University Press. Chapter 6 (pp. 186-238).  Cohen, Avner. 1998.  Israel and the Bomb.  New York, N.Y.: Columbia University Press.   Rabinowitz, Or. 2014.   Bargaining on Nucle Nuclear ar Tests: Washington and Its Cold War Deals.   Oxford, Oxford, U.K.: Oxford Oxford University Press.

Proliferation feration and Close Allies: France, rance, West Germany  (Thursday v.   Proli   (Thursday November 13) Required Reading  Debs, Alexandre and Nuno P. Monteiro. 2014.   Nuclear Politics: The Str Strate ategic gic Lo Logic gic of Prolif Prolifer eration  ation . Yale Universit University y Mimeo. Chapter 6. Other Reading Nuclea earr Statec Statecra raft: ft: Histo History ry and    Gavin, Gavin, Francis rancis J. 2012.   Nucl Strate Str ategy gy in Americ America’s a’s Ato Atomic mic Age.   Ithaca, N.Y.: N.Y.: Cornell Cornell University Press. Chapter 3.  Goldstein, Avery very.. 2000.  Deterrence and Security in the 21st  •





Century. China Century. China,, Brita Britain, in, Franc rance, e, and the Endur Enduring ing Legacy  Legacy  of the Nuclear Revolution.   Stanford, CA: Stanford Univer•

sity Press. Chapter 6. Constructe ucted d Peac Peace: e: The Mak  Trac Trachte htenberg nberg,, Marc Marc.. 1999.   Constr ing of the European Settlement, 1945-1963.  Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.

4.  The Control of Nuclear Weapons (a)   Global Global Institu Institutions tions:: The Internatio International nal Atomic Energy Agenc Agency y and  the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty  (Tuesday November 18) Required Reading •



  Full text of the Treaty of the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Nuclea r Weapon Weapons. s. [available here] [available  here].. Control ol by Commi Committe ttee: e: Manag Managing  ing    Bunn, Bunn, George. George. 1992 1992..   Arms Contr Negotiations with the Russians.  Stanford, CA: Stanford University sity Press Press.. Chapter Chapter 4: ‘The NPT: Banning T Transf ransfer er of Nuclear Nuclear Weapons Takes Two Decades’ (pp. 59-82).

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  Scheinman, Scheinman, Lawrenc Lawrence. e. 1987.   The International Atomic Energy  Agency and World Nuclear Order . Washington, D.C.: Resources for the Futu Future. re. Chapte Chapterr 2: ‘F ‘From rom New New York York to Vienna: Vienna: The Genesis of the IAEA’ (pp. 49-80).

Other Reading •





 Eisenhower,, Dwig  Eisenhower Dwight ht D. 1953. ‘Atoms ‘Atoms for Peace,’ Peace,’ Speech Text. December 8. Available here Available  here..   Fischer, Fischer, David. David. 1997.   History of the International Atomic Energy ergy Agency: Agency: The First Forty Ye Years  ars . Vienna Vienna,, Austria Austria:: IAEA. IAEA. Part I: The Creation of the IAEA (pp. 9-67). Nuclear ar Apa Aparthei rtheid: d: The Quest for    Maddock, Maddock, Shane J. 2010.   Nucle American Atomic Supremacy from World War II to the Present.



Chapel Hill, NC: The University of North Carolina Press. Chapters 1 and 9 (pp.1-9, 251-284).  Sokolski, Henry D. 2010. ‘What Does the History of the Nuclear NonProliferation Treaty Tell Us About its Future.’ in  Reviewing  the Nuclear Nuclear Nonpro Nonproliferatio liferation n Treaty  reaty . He Henry nry D. Sokols Sokolski ki (ed.). (ed.). Chapter 3 (27-63). available here available  here

(b)  Bilateral Treaties on Arms Control  (Thursday November 20) Required Reading •





  Adler Adler,, Ema Emanu nuel. el. 1992. 1992. ‘Th ‘Thee Emergenc Emergencee of Cooperat Cooperation ion:: National Epistemic Communities and the International Evolution of the Idea of Nuclear Arms Control.’   International Organization.   46(1): 101-145.   Schelling Schelling,, Thomas C. and Morton H. Halperin. Halperin. 1961.   Strategy  and Arms Arms Contr Control. ol.   New York, York, N.Y.: The Twent Twentieth ieth Century Century Fund. Chapter 1 (pp. 9-24). Influence  ce . 2008   Schelling Schelling,, Thomas Thomas C.   Arms and Influen 2008 [1 [196 966] 6].. Ne New w Haven, CT: Yale University Press. pp. 248-259.

Tuesday November November 25, Thursday November November 27: no class (November (Nov ember recess) (c)   Global Zero  (Tuesday December 2) Required Reading •



 Glaser, Charles L. 1998. ‘The Flawed Case for Nuclear Disarmament.’   Survival . 40(1): 112-128.  Perkovic  Perko vich, h, George and James M. Acton Acton.. 2008.   Abolishing Nuclear Weapons.  IISS  I ISS Ade Adelphi lphi Paper Paper 396. Chapter Chapter One: “Estab“Establishing Political Conditions to Enhance the Feasibility of Abolishing Nuclear Weapons.” 

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  Walker, Walker, William. 2012.   A Perpetua Perpetuall Menace: Nucle Nuclear ar Weap Weapons  ons  and International Order.   New York, York, N.Y.: Routledge. Chapter 7. ‘Back to Nuclear Disarmament, Arms Control and the NPT’s Invigoration.’ (pp. 158-180). Confr front onting ing the Bomb Bomb:: A Short    Wittner, Wittner, Lawr Lawrence ence S. 2009.   Con History of the World Nuclear Disarmament Movement.  Chapter 4: ‘Movement Renaissance, 1954-1958’ (pp. 52-75).

Other Reading •





 Daalder, Ivo and Jan Lodal. 2008. ‘The Logic  Daalder, Logic of Zero: Tow oward ard a World Without Without Nuclear Nuclear Weapons eapons.’ .’   Foreign Affairs . 87(6 87(6): ): 80-95.   Drell, Sidney Sidney D. and Raymond Raymond Jeanloz. Jeanloz. 2011. 2011. ‘Nuclear ‘Nuclear DeterDeterrence ren ce in a Worl orld d Withou Withoutt Nuc Nuclea learr Weapons. eapons.’’ in   Deterrence, Its Past Past and Futur uture . George George P. P. Shul Shultz, tz, Sidney Sidney D. Drell, Drell, and James Jam es E. Goodby Goodby (ed (eds.) s.).. Stanfo Stanford, rd, CA: Stanford Stanford Univers Universit ity y Press. Chapter 3 (pp.99-129).   Schell Schell,, Jonathan Jonathan.. 2000.   The Fate of the Earth and the Abolition . Stan Stanford, ford, CA: Stanf Stanford ord Univ Universit ersity y Press. The Abolition. Abolition. Chapter 1 (pp. 3-90).

5.   Conclusion (Thursday Conclusion  (Thursday December 4) Required Reading •





 Mueller, John. 1988. ‘The Essential Irrelevance of Nuclear Weapons: Stability in the Postwar World.’  International Security . 13(2): 55-79.  Sagan, Scott D. and Kenneth N. Waltz. 2012.  The Spread of Nuclear  Weap eapons: ons: An Enduring Debate.  (3rd Edition).  Waltz, Kenne  Waltz, Kenneth th N. 2012. ‘Wh ‘Why y Iran should get the b bomb omb:: Nuclear Nuclear balancing would mean stability.’  Foreign Affairs.  91 (6): 2-5.

Other Reading •



Atomic ic Obsession: Nucl Nuclea earr Ala Alarmism rmism fro from  m    Muell Mueller, er, John. John. 2010. 2010.   Atom Hiroshima to Al-Qaeda . New Y York, ork, N.Y.: N.Y.: Oxford Oxford Universit University y Press. Chapters 1 and 2 (pp.4-28).

  Pelopidas Pelopidas,, Benoit. 2011. ‘The Orac Oracles les of Proliferation Proliferation.’ .’   The Nonproliferation Review.   18(1): 297-314.

Final exam (date exam  (date and time TBA)

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