ALBANY, N.Y. — New York's Democratic governor regained his popularity with voters heading into this re-election year, and potential opponents would have a lot of ground to make up if they challenge him in November, a Siena College poll out Jan. 20, 2014, found.
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SIENA RESEARCH INSTITUTE
SIENA COLLEGE, LOUDONVILLE, NY
www.siena.edu/sri
Siena College Poll Trends January 2014
Q. 4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Andrew Cuomo? DATE January 2014 November 2013 October 2013 September 2013 August 2013 June 2013 May 2013 April 2013 March 2013 February 2013 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER Q. 19 FAVORABLE 66 61 62 64 65 58 64 62 64 67 71 77 (2/11) 44 (8/06, 10/06) UNFAVORABLE 28 32 32 32 30 35 32 33 30 29 24 42 (10/06) 14 (8/09) DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 6 6 6 4 5 6 5 4 6 4 5 24 (1/06, 2/06, 9/07) 3 (10/20/10)
How would you rate the job that Andrew Cuomo is doing as Governor? Would you rate it excellent, good, fair, or poor? DATE January 2014 November 2013 October 2013 September 2013 August 2013 June 2013 May 2013 April 2013 March 2013 February 2013 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER EXCELLENT GOOD FAIR 10 44 35 7 37 39 8 44 34 11 38 36 9 43 33 9 41 34 10 42 31 11 41 31 12 42 31 16 42 28 16 44 28 17 (1/12) 47 (4/12, etc.) 39 (11/13) 7 (11/13) 34 (1/11) 24 (1/11) POOR DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 11 1 17 1 13 1 14 1 13 2 15 1 16 1 16 1 13 1 13 1 10 1 17 (11/13) 28 (1/11) 4 (2/11, 1/11) 1 (many)
Q. 18
I know it s a long way off, but as things stand now, if Andrew Cuomo runs for re-election as Governor this year, would you vote to re-elect him or would you prefer someone else? Ù DATE January 2014 November 2013 October 2013 September 2013 August 2013 June 2013 May 2013 April 2013 March 2013 February 2013 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER RE-ELECT CUOMO 57 51 52 52 55 52 55 53 54 56 60 62 (12/12) 51 (11/13) FAVORABLE 14 12 14 (1/14) 12 (11/13) PREFER SOMEONE ELSE DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 33 10 41 9 38 10 39 10 35 9 41 7 36 9 39 7 37 9 36 8 32 8 41 (11/13, 6/13) 10 (10/13, 9/13) 29 (12/12) 7 (6/13, 4/13) UNFAVORABLE 10 14 14 (11/13) 10 (1/14) DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 76 75 76 (1/14) 75 (11/13)
Q. 12
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Rob Astorino? DATE January 2014 November 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER
Siena College Poll Trends January 2014
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Q. 39 If the 2014 election for governor was held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo on the Democratic line and Rob Astorino on the Republican line, who would you vote for? (Choices were rotated.) DATE January 2014 November 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER Q. 20 CUOMO 67 63 67 (1/14) 63 (11/13) ASTORINO 19 24 24 (11/13) 19 (1/14) OTHER/WON T VOTE/ DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 14 13 14 (1/14) 13 (11/13)
Do you think Governor Cuomo has succeeded in creating a business climate that helps New York State businesses be more successful or have his efforts had little effect? DATE January 2014 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER SUCCEEDED 43 42 43 (1/14) 42 (1/13) HAD LITTLE EFFECT 45 48 48 (1/13) 45 (1/14) DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 12 10 12 (1/14) 10 (1/13)
Q. 23
With Bill de Blasio as mayor of New York City, some might say the two most significant elected executives in the state are Andrew Cuomo and Bill de Blasio. Which of the two Cuomo or de Blasio is more representative of your political beliefs? (Choices were rotated.) DATE January 2014 November 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER CUOMO DE BLASIO 49 28 47 28 49 (1/14) 28 (1/14, 11/13) 47 (11/13) 28 (1/14, 11/13) BOTH NEITHER DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 2 12 9 2 11 12 2 (1/14, 11/13) 12 (1/14) 12 (11/13) 2 (1/14, 11/13) 11 (11/13) 9 (1/14)
Q. 24
Last Wednesday, Governor Cuomo delivered his fourth State of the State address to kick off the new legislative session in Albany. How much have your read or heard about his speech? A great deal, some, not very much or nothing at all? Ù DATE January 2014 January 2013 January 2011 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER A GREAT DEAL SOME NOT VERY MUCH 7 24 31 14 29 29 16 33 30 16 (1/11) 33 (1/11) 31 (1/14) 7 ((1/14) 24 (1/14) 29 (1/12) FAVORABLE 41 34 43 38 37 36 39 39 44 45 45 (1/13) 25 (7/10) UNFAVORABLE 43 48 41 49 48 51 45 49 42 42 61 (7/10) 40 (12/12) NOTHING DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 37 0 27 0 20 0 37 (1/14) 0 20 (1/11) 0
Q. 10
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about the New York State Assembly? DATE January 2014 November 2013 October 2013 September 2013 August 2013 June 2013 May 2013 April 2013 February 2013 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 16 19 16 14 15 13 16 12 14 13 19 (11/13, 12/12) 12 (4/13, 1/10)
Siena College Poll Trends January 2014
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Q. 7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Sheldon Silver? DATE January 2014 September 2013 June 2013 May 2013 April 2013 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER Q. 11 FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 23 37 40 21 43 37 20 43 37 23 34 43 28 39 33 24 38 38 28 (4/13, 7/05) 43 (9/13, 6/13) 50 (4/05) 19 (2/11, 4/05) 30 (4/05) 33 (4/13)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about the New York State Senate? DATE January 2014 November 2013 October 2013 September 2013 August 2013 June 2013 May 2013 April 2013 February 2013 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE 46 42 35 52 41 47 40 51 40 48 41 49 43 48 40 53 45 46 45 45 46 (1/14, 5/12) 74 (7/09) 20 (7/09) 41 (12/12) DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 12 12 12 10 12 11 9 7 9 10 14 (12/12, 6/11) 6 (7/09)
Q. 8
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Dean Skelos? DATE January 2014 September 2013 June 2013 May 2013 April 2013 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER FAVORABLE 18 14 15 14 15 16 18 (1/14) 9 (12/10) UNFAVORABLE 16 23 23 16 24 20 24 (4/13) 8 (7/08) DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 66 63 63 70 61 65 82 (11/08) 61 (4/13)
Q. 9
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Jeff Klein? DATE January 2014 September 2013 June 2013 May 2013 April 2013 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER FAVORABLE 13 13 12 13 17 12 17 (4/13) 9 (11/09) UNFAVORABLE 13 12 12 10 15 14 15 (4/13) 7 (11/09) DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 74 74 76 76 68 73 84 (11/09) 68 (4/13)
Q. 5
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Eric Schneiderman? DATE January 2014 November 2013 September 2013 August 2013 April 2013 March 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 27 15 58 27 16 57 23 18 60 25 15 60 27 18 55 19 17 65 29 (10/31/10) 27 (10/31/10) 86 (11/09) 8 (11/09) 6 (5/10, 11/09) 44 (10/31/10)
Siena College Poll Trends January 2014
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Q. 6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Thomas DiNapoli? DATE January 2014 November 2013 September 2013 August 2013 March 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER Q. 15 FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 28 17 55 27 19 54 26 20 55 26 18 57 22 15 63 30 (11/10, 10/20/10) 36 (10/31/10) 80 (6/07) 7 (6/07, 5/07) 10 (12/09, 11/08) 37 (10/31/10)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Donald Trump? DATE January 2014 October 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER FAVORABLE 38 30 38 (1/14) 30 (10/13) UNFAVORABLE 57 59 59 (10/13) 57 (1/14) DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 5 10 10 (10/13) 5 (1/14)
Q. 16
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about the New York State Republican Party? DATE January 2014 October 2010 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER FAVORABLE 35 36 36 (10/10) 35 (1/14) UNFAVORABLE 56 53 56 (1/14) 53 (10/10) DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 9 10 10 (10/10) 9 (1/14)
Q. 17
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about the New York State Democratic Party? DATE January 2014 October 2010 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER FAVORABLE 52 40 52 (1/14) 40 (10/10) UNFAVORABLE 39 52 52 (10/10) 39 (1/14) DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 8 7 8 (1/14) 7 (10/10)
Q. 30
Do you support or oppose creating a system of public campaign financing in New York that would limit the size of political contributions to candidates and use state money to match smaller contributions made to candidates for state offices? NOT ENOUGH INFORMATION/ DATE SUPPORT OPPOSE DON T KNOW/NO OPINION January 2014 64 30 6 June 2013 61 33 6 May 2013 57 34 9 March 2013 61 33 6 January 2013 59 36 5 HIGHEST EVER 64 (1/14) 36 (1/13) 14 (8/12) LOWEST EVER 55 (8/12) 30 (1/14) 5 (1/13) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Hillary Clinton? DATE January 2014 November 2013 October 2013 September 2013 August 2013 March 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER FAVORABLE 68 67 67 69 67 73 75 (12/12) 48 (4/08) UNFAVORABLE 29 31 30 27 31 25 46 (4/08) 23 (12/12) DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 3 2 4 3 2 3 8 (3/05, 6/06, 3/07) 2 (many)
Q. 13
Siena College Poll Trends January 2014
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Q. 14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Chris Christie? DATE January 2014 November 2013 December 2012 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER Q. 41 FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE 49 39 63 25 63 18 63 (11/13, 12/12) 39 (1/14) 49 (1/14) 18 (12/12) DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 12 12 18 18 (12/12) 12 (1/14, 11/13)
If the 2016 election for president was held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton on the Democratic line and Chris Christie on the Republican line, who would you vote for? (Choices were rotated.) DATE January 2014 November 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER CLINTON 60 56 60 (1/14) 56 (11/13) CHRISTIE 32 40 40 (11/13) 32 (1/14) OTHER/WON T VOTE/ DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 8 5 8 (1/14) 5 (11/13)
Q. 42
If the 2016 election for president was held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo on the Democratic line and Chris Christie on the Republican line, who would you vote for? (Choices were rotated.) DATE January 2014 November 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER CUOMO 55 42 55 (1/14) 42 (11/13) CHRISTIE 35 47 47 (11/13) 35 (1/14) OTHER/WON T VOTE/ DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 11 10 11 (1/14) 10 (11/13)
Q. 43
As we look to next week s commemoration of Dr. Martin Luther King s birthday, how would you describe the state of race relations in New York State? Would you say they are excellent, good, fair, or poor? DATE January 2014 January 2013 January 2012 January 2011 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER EXCELLENT GOOD 7 40 7 47 7 44 7 48 7 (many) 48 (1/11) 3 (1/08) 40 (1/14) FAIR 37 35 36 33 38 (1/10) 33 (1/11) POOR DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 14 2 11 1 11 2 10 2 14 (1/14) 3 (1/08) 8 (1/10) 1 (1/13)
Q. 2
Is the United States on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction? DATE January 2014 October 2013 September 2013 August 2013 May 2013 March 2013 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER RIGHT TRACK WRONG DIRECTION DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 37 55 8 19 74 7 34 58 7 37 54 9 41 56 4 32 60 8 46 49 5 62 (5/09) 74 (10/13, 8/11) 17 (9/08) 19 (10/13, 10/08) 24 (12/09) 5 (1/13)
Siena College Poll Trends January 2014
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Q. 3 How would you describe the fiscal condition of New York State right now? Would you describe it as excellent, good, fair, or poor? DATE January 2014 September 2013 August 2013 May 2013 March 2013 February 2013 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER Q. 1 DATE January 2014 November 2013 October 2013 September 2013 August 2013 June 2013 May 2013 April 2013 March 2013 February 2013 January 2013 HIGHEST EVER LOWEST EVER EXCELLENT GOOD FAIR 2 27 42 1 20 47 3 20 43 1 19 44 1 16 47 0 19 44 1 18 47 3 (8/13) 27 (1/14) 49 (8/12) 0 (many) 6 (3/22/10, etc.) 25 (3/22/10) POOR DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 27 2 30 2 30 4 33 2 35 2 35 2 32 2 67 (3/22/10) 4 (8/13, 9/08) 27 (1/14) 0 (4/11, etc.)
Is New York State on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction? RIGHT TRACK WRONG DIRECTION DON T KNOW/NO OPINION 52 36 12 46 44 10 44 44 12 43 46 11 47 40 13 48 42 10 49 44 7 48 42 10 50 42 8 55 35 9 57 33 10 57 (1/13) 76 (10/31/10) 30 (1/07) 14 (10/10) 26 (1/07) 7 (5/13)
Poll Trend Notes:
All surveys are of registered voters except for the polls of August and October 2012, October 2010, September and October 2008, and September and October 2006, which are polls of likely voters. Trends reflect questions asked at least twice since the first Siena College Poll in February 2005. Results listed here include all times questions have been asked since January 2013. Highest Ever and Lowest Ever is provided at the bottom of each question. Ù Inconsequential wording change.