Provisions
Risk Margin Setting
Correlation between Staff Numbers
and Liability Provisions
Overview of QBE’s Current
Situation
Asian
Typhoon
Season
Increase
in Claims
Staffing
Cutbacks
Capital
Efficiency
Implications on Outstanding
Claims Liability Provisions
Typhoons
cause
significant
damage
Long
Latency
Period:
Assessing
damage,
possible
legal action
Need for
more
Outstandin
g Claims
Provisions
QBE’s Risk Margin
Setting
Policy Mix
Correlation
Between
Products
SIZE OF
RISK
MARGI
N
Uncertaint
y in Central
Estimates
Correlation Example
Insurer A: Home & Contents Insurance and
Flood Cover
Assume each claim payout costs $1000
Flood
• Home & Contents
Claim: $1000
• Flood Claim: $1000
No
Flood
• Home & Contents
Claim: $0
• Flood Claim: $0
$200
0
$0
Correlation Example
Insurer
B: Life Annuities and Life
Insurance
Assume each claim payout costs
$1000
•
Live
s
Dies
Annuity payment:
$1000
• Life insurance claim:
$0
• Annuity payment:$0
• Life insurance claim:
$1000
$100
0
$100
0
What will happen to claims
provisions if more staff are hired?
Less
More Claims
Processing Staff and Assessors
Outstandin
Hired
g Claims
More Incurred
Claims are settled within the
Provisions
financial period
Needed for
2013/14
Fewer Incurred
Claims require future
settlement
Challenges
Our
third group member
could not be contacted
Time constraints